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Yavin4

(35,454 posts)

24. Not to disparage you or your analysis, but none of your numbers can be counted on since

Reply to Bucky (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 01:28 PM

May 2020

we do not have comprehensive, uniform testing nor do have we established protocols for identifying and categorizing the cause of deaths.

The spikes could be coming from mishandling reporting.

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You can't judge a trend by just a few data points, but this isn't good news... [View all] Bucky Apr 2020 OP

NY uses a 3-day rolling average PSPS Apr 2020 #1

Of course confirmed infections and new deaths are on different schedules Bucky Apr 2020 #2

Maybe a lag in reporting? Hav Apr 2020 #5

That's a good question. Bucky Apr 2020 #6

Crap, posted this earlier ... Germany & italy going through similar effex 2 weeks post let up (link) uponit7771 Apr 2020 #3

Do you think that's what a flattened curve is? Bucky Apr 2020 #4

Don't know, I just know Germany and Italy let up on the SIP measures and their relative Ro went up uponit7771 Apr 2020 #9

I would say the numbers jump more due to reconciliation of deaths, especiallu over a weekend. beachbumbob Apr 2020 #7

yup obamanut2012 Apr 2020 #14

I think the UK number being reported today is perfect example of a reconciliation effort beachbumbob Apr 2020 #17

Since so many governmental leaders Chainfire Apr 2020 #8

GA and the other opened redneck-governed states will party for two weeks lagomorph777 Apr 2020 #10

Every single state in the US is a "redneck state" obamanut2012 Apr 2020 #15

I've corrected my headline per your comment. lagomorph777 Apr 2020 #16

Isn't that an upswing of nearly 1100 deaths, rather than nearly 900? sl8 Apr 2020 #11

Math am hard Bucky Apr 2020 #19

The daily death numbers are not really "daily." The Tuesday number seems to jump to account for greenjar_01 Apr 2020 #12

Have you seen this study? Danascot Apr 2020 #13

Thanks. Will read this closely Bucky Apr 2020 #21

There's a weekly trend of 2 'low' days reported on Sunday and Monday, then a high Tuesday muriel_volestrangler Apr 2020 #18

Okay, I see that. Bucky Apr 2020 #20

Addendum: Talking Points Memo has used a 7 day average, separating New York from the rest of the USA muriel_volestrangler May 2020 #22

Thanks. TPM is a treasure Bucky May 2020 #23

Not to disparage you or your analysis, but none of your numbers can be counted on since Yavin4 May 2020 #24

This was discussed up thread. Bucky May 2020 #25

"good enough" should not be the standard for a global pandemic given our modern technology Yavin4 May 2020 #26

In an ideal world, I would agree. But we don't live in a laboratory world Bucky May 2020 #28

Other nations have national standardized testing Yavin4 May 2020 #29

What they DON'T have is a government run by a fuckwit. Read this Bucky May 2020 #30

Speaking of TPM, they've just reposted this twitter from an Obama sci advisor Bucky May 2020 #27