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muriel_volestrangler

(101,320 posts)
22. Addendum: Talking Points Memo has used a 7 day average, separating New York from the rest of the USA
Fri May 1, 2020, 01:19 PM
May 2020

New York state and its 7 day average (in red):



and the rest of the country:



https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/brutal-numbers-and-that-failing-ihme-model

So that does show, after taking out NYS, that the rest of the country has had a recent uptick, even when looking at the 7 day average.

NY uses a 3-day rolling average PSPS Apr 2020 #1
Of course confirmed infections and new deaths are on different schedules Bucky Apr 2020 #2
Maybe a lag in reporting? Hav Apr 2020 #5
That's a good question. Bucky Apr 2020 #6
Crap, posted this earlier ... Germany & italy going through similar effex 2 weeks post let up (link) uponit7771 Apr 2020 #3
Do you think that's what a flattened curve is? Bucky Apr 2020 #4
Don't know, I just know Germany and Italy let up on the SIP measures and their relative Ro went up uponit7771 Apr 2020 #9
I would say the numbers jump more due to reconciliation of deaths, especiallu over a weekend. beachbumbob Apr 2020 #7
yup obamanut2012 Apr 2020 #14
I think the UK number being reported today is perfect example of a reconciliation effort beachbumbob Apr 2020 #17
Since so many governmental leaders Chainfire Apr 2020 #8
GA and the other opened redneck-governed states will party for two weeks lagomorph777 Apr 2020 #10
Every single state in the US is a "redneck state" obamanut2012 Apr 2020 #15
I've corrected my headline per your comment. lagomorph777 Apr 2020 #16
Isn't that an upswing of nearly 1100 deaths, rather than nearly 900? sl8 Apr 2020 #11
Math am hard Bucky Apr 2020 #19
The daily death numbers are not really "daily." The Tuesday number seems to jump to account for greenjar_01 Apr 2020 #12
Have you seen this study? Danascot Apr 2020 #13
Thanks. Will read this closely Bucky Apr 2020 #21
There's a weekly trend of 2 'low' days reported on Sunday and Monday, then a high Tuesday muriel_volestrangler Apr 2020 #18
Okay, I see that. Bucky Apr 2020 #20
Addendum: Talking Points Memo has used a 7 day average, separating New York from the rest of the USA muriel_volestrangler May 2020 #22
Thanks. TPM is a treasure Bucky May 2020 #23
Not to disparage you or your analysis, but none of your numbers can be counted on since Yavin4 May 2020 #24
This was discussed up thread. Bucky May 2020 #25
"good enough" should not be the standard for a global pandemic given our modern technology Yavin4 May 2020 #26
In an ideal world, I would agree. But we don't live in a laboratory world Bucky May 2020 #28
Other nations have national standardized testing Yavin4 May 2020 #29
What they DON'T have is a government run by a fuckwit. Read this Bucky May 2020 #30
Speaking of TPM, they've just reposted this twitter from an Obama sci advisor Bucky May 2020 #27
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