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In reply to the discussion: Starting to look like we may be under 100K US deaths given most up to date modeling. [View all]Thomas Hurt
(13,903 posts)39. that is the pig's bet that we will come in well under 100K and he will look good.
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Starting to look like we may be under 100K US deaths given most up to date modeling. [View all]
Loki Liesmith
Apr 2020
OP
The number of deaths has a tangential relationship with the amount of testing.
Blue_true
Apr 2020
#84
Plus, the untested are either not treated or not treated as soon. LACK OF TESTING KILLS...
blitzen
Apr 2020
#90
If the WH is pushing it, I have doubts. It's a projection, but since we don't have wide testing we..
brush
Apr 2020
#14
It looks legit, I know, but really, they've been estimating in the 80 thousands since
Squinch
Apr 2020
#26
Every epidemiologist who HASN'T thought of this needs to get another job. n/t
Eyeball_Kid
Apr 2020
#79
How does a report from two weeks ago prove they've been saying that for months?
Captain Stern
Apr 2020
#31
It was a link to the site that I happened to find quickly. People have been linking to this
Squinch
Apr 2020
#45
+1, we're no where near 70% compliance nationwide even in cities with SIP orders. NO WAY
uponit7771
Apr 2020
#54
+1. "I kept the number to a minimum. Very, very low. I achieved the lowest deaths! Democrats and
dalton99a
Apr 2020
#13
According to worldometers we're testing half the numbers that SK, HK, Germany etc tested
uponit7771
Apr 2020
#56
That's why trump said up to 240,000...when it comes in lower he will take all the credit
spanone
Apr 2020
#23
People fall for this stuff when it comes to a couple hundred dollars in a furniture sale
greenjar_01
Apr 2020
#25
Until what date? I mean, no one knows when this will end because sub par per capita testing
uponit7771
Apr 2020
#35
Working the math out, that's 102,000 dead just from the infections that had occurred by
Squinch
Apr 2020
#62
This should be its own OP !! This guy was RIGHT DEAD ON WITH 90% of Calculations
uponit7771
Apr 2020
#57
that is the pig's bet that we will come in well under 100K and he will look good.
Thomas Hurt
Apr 2020
#39
Under-reported down because coroners cannot verify -- will need analysis like PR data later
JT45242
Apr 2020
#58
Regardless of the ultimate US death toll, the comparision that matters is deaths per million pop.
blitzen
Apr 2020
#92
Due to various age structures & other factors, mortality rates will not enable proper comparisons
logme
Apr 2020
#93
What is the point of projecting deaths from a first wave? As soon as we let up on social distancing
pnwmom
Apr 2020
#117
Let's talk again after this thing is done with those below the Mason-Dixon line/
LaurenOlimina
Apr 2020
#101
The comments on threads like these often make DU appear as if we are cheering for more deaths
A HERETIC I AM
Apr 2020
#105
I think we're having success flattening the curve, but these projections are low, imo
fishwax
Apr 2020
#109
I've been seeing such possibility's elsewhere. I'm desperate for them to be true.
herding cats
Apr 2020
#112