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Time for change

(13,714 posts)
Mon Sep 10, 2012, 10:01 PM Sep 2012

What Happened on Election Night, November 2-3, 2004? [View all]

It was well known in the days prior to the 2004 Presidential election that a Bush victory was highly unlikely without Bush carrying both Ohio and Florida. As Election Day unfolded, spirits in the Kerry camp were running high, as it became evident that Ohio’s 20 electoral votes would determine the victor, and there was widespread belief that Kerry was on track to win Ohio.

Much anecdotal evidence suggests that the Kerry/Edwards ticket was on track to win Ohio, when rather suddenly its fortunes went south. Kerry had a very comfortable lead in the Ohio exit poll. Even CNN’s right wing hack, Robert Novak, seemed to acknowledge on live TV that things looked very bad for Bush. Reports of exceptionally high turnout in highly Democratic Cleveland provided much cause for optimism. A Kerry campaign worker later told me that he and his fellow campaign workers went to bed Election Night certain that Kerry had won. Yet by noon the next day John Kerry conceded the election, which he officially lost by about 119 thousand votes.

There is a great deal of evidence of foul play in the 2004 election in Ohio. In addition to exit polls showing a 4.2% Kerry win, there was: massive purging of voter rolls targeted at Democratic voters; absurdly low official voter turnout in Cleveland, despite the widespread long voting lines that suggested otherwise; insufficient allocation of voting machines in Democratic areas, especially in Franklin County; numerous reports of touch screen voting machines in Mahoning County switching votes from Kerry to Bush right before the voters’ eyes; widespread evidence of voter intimidation and dirty tricks, as detailed in John Conyers’ excellent report, Preserving Democracy: What Went Wrong in Ohio; the finding in Clermont County of oval stickers covering the Kerry/Edwards place on the ballot so that votes for Kerry couldn’t be read by the optical scan machine; the fake terrorist threat in Warren County that provided the excuse for county election officials to count their votes in secret, and; the corrupted Ohio recount, which removed the last chance to ascertain evidence of election fraud.

But why did Kerry’s chances of winning the 2004 Presidential election appear to disappear so suddenly, late on Election Night? Some of the above incidents could have provided at least a partial explanation for that. But perhaps the best explanation was provided by Stephen Spoonamore, a Republican and a computer expert who provided an affidavit on the subject shortly before the 2008 Presidential election. But before addressing Spoonamore’s affidavit we need to consider the man who probably knew a lot more than Spoonamore about what happened on Election Night 2008, though he died prior to his scheduled testimony on the subject.


Michael Connell

Michael Connell was a high level Republican operative and IT consultant. He was the founder of New Media Communications, which provided web site services for the Bush-Cheney 2004 presidential campaign, The Republican National Committee, and many other Republican candidates. At the time of the 2004 national election he was president of GovTech solutions, which was hired by Ohio Secretary of State Kenneth Blackwell to set up an election website for the Ohio presidential 2004 elections. This clearly presented a conflict of interests, in the same way that Secretary Blackwell’s dual role as Ohio Secretary of State (in charge of Ohio elections) and campaign chairman for the Bush-Cheney campaign in Ohio created a serious conflict of interests.

Given the exit poll discrepancy in the Ohio 2004 presidential election of 6.7%, the numerous irregularities surrounding that election, and the fact that the awarding of Ohio to Bush was responsible for his reelection, numerous lawsuits were brought in Ohio to challenge the election results. Given Connell’s close connections with Karl Rove and the Bush campaign, in combination with his official duties with respect to the presidential election in Ohio, he was sought to provide testimony in connection with a case that alleged tampering with the 2004 election. It was alleged in the case that Connell participated in vote tampering. On September 22, 2008, Connell was subpoenaed to testify in the case. Connell initially sought to avoid testifying, and even put forth a motion to quash his subpoena. But that motion was denied.


The Testimony of Stephen Spoonamore

On September 17, 2008, Stephen Spoonamore provided an affidavit in connection with ongoing investigations into election fraud involving the 2004 Presidential election. The first parts of his affidavit related to his qualifications for the opinions he provided, and included the following:

Because of my interest in data security and in democracy, I have followed with interest the security issues involved with electronic voting in United States. My understanding of the vulnerabilities of American elections to fraudulent manipulation is based upon conversations with professionals in election administration working within state governmental structures as well as information technology specialists working in private industry on a contract basis for state governments.

He then went on to describe the vote counting system in play on Election Day 2004 in Ohio:

The vote tabulation and reporting system, as modified at the direction of [Ohio Secretary of State] Blackwell, allowed the introduction of a single computer in the middle of the pathway. This computer located at a company principally managing IT Systems for GOP campaign and political operations (Computer C) received all information from each county computer (Computer A) BEFORE it was sent onward to Computer B. This centralized collection of all incoming statewide tabulations would make it extremely easy for a single operator, or a preprogrammed single "force balancing computer" to change the results in any way desired by the team controlling Computer C. In this case GOP partisan operatives…

Lastly he described his view of the how Michael Connell fit into the picture:

Mr. Connell and I share a mutual interest in democracy building… Mike and I briefly discussed voting security…. He further made a statement that he is afraid that some of the more ruthless partisans of the GOP may have exploited systems he in part worked on for [election theft]... Knowing his team and their skills I find it unlikely they would be the vote thieves directly. I believe however he knows who is doing that work, and has likely turned a blind eye to this activity. Mr. Connell is a devout Catholic. He has admitted to me that in his zeal to 'save the unborn' he may have helped others who have compromised elections. He was clearly uncomfortable when I asked directly about Ohio 2004.

An article posted in Velvet Revolutions relates what happened next. Later on the same day that Spoonamore provided his affidavit:

Ohio attorney Cliff Arnebeck asked the federal court in Columbus to allow him to place Bush IT guru Michael Connell under oath to ask him about his 20 year work for the Bush family, including his work for Jeb Bush in Florida 2000 and for Ken Blackwell in Ohio 2004. “The public has a need and right to know, before the next presidential election, that the top Republican IT expert shares a concern about the vulnerability of electronic voting systems to fraudulent manipulation, and that this is not just “conspiracy theory,” Arnebeck wrote.

On September 22, Connell was subpoenaed to testify about the matters that Spoonamore raised. Connell did everything he could to avoid testifying. Spoonamore provided another affidavit on October 26, going into more detail than his September 17 affidavit on how he saw the 2004 Presidential election being stolen:

During the evening and early morning on the 2004 General Election in Ohio, on my own computer I was watching the results of incoming counties and precincts. I believed there was a more than likely chance County Tabulators had been programmed to manipulate votes…. As early results showed Kerry ahead, I noticed a trend in a very few counties (I believe I noted 8 counties on election night) that at about 11 p.m. suddenly began reporting radically different ratios of Kerry to Bush votes. All in favor of Mr. Bush. This sudden rate of change… resembled a fraud technique called an Intelligent Man In the Middle, or KingPin Attack. This type of attack requires a computer to be inserted into the communications flow of an IT system…

Other experts found additional data indicating Bush's increase in votes from these counties, and Kerry's decrease in votes… When information about the SmartTech IT routing switch became public, and recalling that staff of Triad were reported to have removed hard drives from County Tabulators in advance of the recount, I again stated that we now have confirmation a KingPin, or Intelligent Man in the Middle position had been created… The SmartTech system was set up precisely as a KingPin computer used in criminal acts against banking or credit card processes and had the needed level of access to both county tabulators and Secretary of States computers to allow whoever was running SmartTech's computers to decide the output of the county tabulators under it's
control…The SmartTech computer would as the results of the evening proceeded be able to know how many votes Bush needed to steal from Kerry, and flip enough votes on the desired county tabulators to reverse the outcome of the election…

The only way this could have been detected on election night would be complete monitoring… or by conducting a forensic analysis of the complete county tabulator computer, especially the hard drives of these computers. These hard drives were apparently removed by Triad employees before the Green Party Recount, in what appears to be a concerted effort to destroy evidence…

A couple words of explanation are in order at this point: The SmartTech system that Spoonamore referred to was operated by Michael Connell; the references to the hard drives removed by Triad employees before the recount relate back to the corrupted Ohio recount, which I described here. The removal of those hard drives constituted destruction of evidence of the true vote count, thus making it impossible to conduct an accurate recount.

Note that by this time Spoonamore seems to have lost confidence in the innocence of Michael Connell that he exhibited in his September 17 affidavit. This is suggested by Spoonamore’s comment on Connell’s continued efforts to avoid providing relevant information, with the excuse that he was trying to protect trade secrets. Spoonamore said that that excuse was absurd, and he went into much detail to explain why it was absurd.

On October 28, attorneys filed a motion to compel testimony of Connell regarding his knowledge of the workings of the GOP computer systems. On October 31 a federal judge ordered Connell to submit to a deposition on possible election manipulation. Connell gave the deposition on November 4, providing as little information as possible, but eventually he was forced to admit that “he brought Triad and SmartTech into the Ohio election game”. Velvet Revolution noted:

Of course, these are the two companies identified by Spoonamore as rigging the election, Triad by pulling hard drives prior to the recount and SmartTech by running the election results through its GOP servers in Chattanooga before they got to the Ohio election computers.


The Death of Michael Connell

When it became apparent that Connell would testify in the case, according to news reporter Blake Renault, Connell was warned not to fly his plane:

Connell...was apparently told by a close friend not to fly his plane because his plane might be sabotaged… And twice in the last two months Connell, who is an experienced pilot, cancelled two flights because of suspicious problems with his plane.

Cliff Arnebeck, the Ohio lawyer who brought the suit and subpoenaed Connell, warned the U.S. Justice Department that Connell’s life might be in danger, and requested witness protection. Arnebeck wrote:

I have informed court chambers and am in the process of informing the Ohio Attorney General's and US Attorney's offices in Columbus for the purpose, among other things, of seeking protection for Mr. Connell and his family from this reported attempt to intimidate a witness…

Unfortunately, in an event reminiscent of the death of Raymond Lemme, who had apparently collected incriminating evidence bearing on the same subject that was at the core of the Connell subpoena, Connell never did get to testify. On December 19, he died in a plane crash, presumably caused by his plane running out of gas.


Unsolved mysteries

I don’t know what ever became of Spoonamore’s testimony. Perhaps any chance the American people had to get to the bottom of this matter was buried along with Michael Conner. In a just world, Spoonamore’s allegations would have been thoroughly investigated in an attempt to find out what really happened. So would the great amount of other evidence of election fraud in Ohio and elsewhere on Election Day 2004.

It is also difficult for me to understand how Spoonamore obtained the information he discussed in his affidavit. Being an expert on the subject was not enough. Clearly he seemed to have inside information. How did he obtain that information? It seems that he obtained much of it from Connor himself – but why did Connor trust him with that information?

In any case, if nothing else we should take very seriously Stephen Spoonamore's central message: Electronic voting machines are a national security threat. They have no legitimate place whatsoever in a democracy.
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So, what has changed in the last 8 years? Will they have a paper trail this time? begin_within Sep 2012 #1
It is worse than in 2004, but improving over the peak in 2006 Time for change Sep 2012 #8
So, this November, one out of every four votes... regnaD kciN Sep 2012 #25
Yes agreed its much worse and the difference this time is INdemo Sep 2012 #63
It's also possible that Kerry had very little understanding of the extent of the GOP capabilities Time for change Sep 2012 #65
Yes but I think McAuliffe had a very big role in convincing Kerry to INdemo Sep 2012 #68
Knr roody Sep 2012 #2
Thanks for posting! nt valerief Sep 2012 #3
K&R bahrbearian Sep 2012 #4
I remember following ALL that mess on election night in '04. annabanana Sep 2012 #5
I remember that shot. And how sickened I was. I'm pretty sure I was posting here silvershadow Sep 2012 #17
link to the story: alp227 Sep 2012 #29
I remember vividly. diane in sf Sep 2012 #73
shit happened undeterred Sep 2012 #6
Excellent post malaise Sep 2012 #7
I have no doubt cilla4progress Sep 2012 #9
Thank you for this OP, Time. It was more devastating to me than the theft of 2000. So many worked so Mnemosyne Sep 2012 #10
One thing I remember on the eve of the election. JohnnyRingo Sep 2012 #11
After the tequila shots, bong hits, and pain killers, OnyxCollie Sep 2012 #12
I was FURIOUS at the Dems for conceding without a fight Lydia Leftcoast Sep 2012 #13
I surely would have liked to see Kerry and Edwards contest the election Time for change Sep 2012 #14
They were originally determined to do so... regnaD kciN Sep 2012 #27
Well, they could have at least said what you said Lydia Leftcoast Sep 2012 #30
Both USMCMustang Sep 2012 #16
B.S. regnaD kciN Sep 2012 #28
please provide a link for your assertion grasswire Sep 2012 #56
Ana Is Missing USMCMustang Sep 2012 #15
Interesting, she describes herself as a 'Conservative Bad Girl'. sabrina 1 Sep 2012 #34
I have to correct one thing Bainbridge Bear Sep 2012 #18
Troubling BlueinOhio Sep 2012 #19
While all eyes were on Ohio, Florida was stolen without a fight StatGirl Sep 2012 #20
K & R! Spoonamore's video explanation is a MUST SEE! Dustlawyer Sep 2012 #21
There was an excellent article in Rolling Stone written by Robert Kennedy Jr covering this Poiuyt Sep 2012 #22
Dems have been very remiss in not following up on the SAME DAMNED THING in Nov 2008 eridani Sep 2012 #23
I remember it well, too, & am so glad it is being recorded here. ANOIS Sep 2012 #24
Maybe she was afraid. According to Connell's Wiki page there was a threat to have her prosecuted sabrina 1 Sep 2012 #36
And where was our illustrious mainstream media when the story of the century was happening? mountain grammy Sep 2012 #26
The corporate owned "mainstream" media doesnn't like this kind of thing to get out Time for change Sep 2012 #48
Interesting point you raise - why bother to steal an election when you can Flatulo Sep 2012 #69
I can't remember when I didn't know most of this NCcoast Sep 2012 #31
Yes, is it any wonder Democrats have lost elections. mountain grammy Sep 2012 #38
I am in the slim minority here, but Kerry lost... Drunken Irishman Sep 2012 #32
Two points about the exit polls Time for change Sep 2012 #37
What can I say when for the longest time I believed the same... mountain grammy Sep 2012 #39
How Kerry Votes Were Switched To Bush Votes Coyotl Sep 2012 #41
Basically, what you're saying is that you think Kerry lost this election legitimately because Time for change Sep 2012 #84
The thought of them stealing this election... Jazzy_Obama Sep 2012 #33
There has never been any doubt the 2004 election could easily have been stolen Samantha Sep 2012 #35
Parts of this seem bogus Coyotl Sep 2012 #40
It's sometimes referred to as "caterpillar ballot crawl" Ellipsis Sep 2012 #42
This message was self-deleted by its author bupkus Sep 2012 #45
Where did I say that the vote count was officially reported by a county and then changed? Time for change Sep 2012 #47
Triad BlueinOhio Sep 2012 #59
Yes, that was a prime example of the corrupted Ohio recount that Spoonamore talked about Time for change Sep 2012 #61
Gag order BlueinOhio Sep 2012 #75
I don't remember that one. Is there a case number? Ellipsis Sep 2012 #76
I don't recall that, but it wouldn't surprise me at all if Bush tried to do that Time for change Sep 2012 #81
I recall many boots on the ground after the fact Generic Other Sep 2012 #43
. n/t porphyrian Sep 2012 #44
This message was self-deleted by its author bupkus Sep 2012 #46
Karl Rove just may be public enemy #1 Blue Owl Sep 2012 #49
Thank you for the excellent post. wakemewhenitsover Sep 2012 #50
And let's not forget what happened to Raymond Lemme, with regard to the same general subject Time for change Sep 2012 #54
K&R liberal N proud Sep 2012 #51
Excellent post! One of the biggest problems I have with the Dem Party is... polichick Sep 2012 #52
I feel the same way Time for change Sep 2012 #53
I feel the same way. Once again we need overwhelming numbers to vote Democratic to overcome Overseas Sep 2012 #85
I was on DU that night, up in Alaska. Drahthaardogs Sep 2012 #55
That was the day before I became Aldo Leopold Sep 2012 #57
That's about when I started reading (and posting on) DU avidly Time for change Sep 2012 #58
Me too DemReadingDU Sep 2012 #83
Welcome to The Conversation! annabanana Sep 2012 #66
"Aldo Leopold and the Sand County Almanac... next to the bible this is the book." Ellipsis Sep 2012 #77
Am I the only one who saw the live feed of Shrub around 11:00 in the white house? lindysalsagal Sep 2012 #60
This needs to be treated with sentences in Federal prisons Doctor_J Sep 2012 #62
After the election, I would like to see President Obama grant a full pardon to Don Siegelman, Gus2525 Sep 2012 #64
K & R Liberal_Dog Sep 2012 #67
R#131 & K for, totally excellent work in this O.P. n/t UTUSN Sep 2012 #70
K&R. Looking Forward isn't the best strategy when you have a 25 ton truck coming Egalitarian Thug Sep 2012 #71
Interesting post. SunDrop23 Sep 2012 #72
Don't forget that Rove scared Kerry out of challenging the result. McCamy Taylor Sep 2012 #74
Teresa Heinz Kerry: Hacking the Mother Machine LongTomH Sep 2012 #78
Forward... graham4anything Sep 2012 #79
I really object to categorizing all "conspiracy theories" as the same thing Time for change Sep 2012 #82
It's frustrating, Brad Friedman has been on this for decade... dougolat Sep 2012 #80
This message was self-deleted by its author mylye2222 Feb 2014 #86
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