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morillon

(1,185 posts)

17. There'd be worse knock-on effects with a spike

Reply to zipplewrath (Reply #7)

Sat Mar 14, 2020, 01:21 PM

Mar 2020

Italy's had a situation where people died at home, and their families struggled to find mortuaries to take them. One family waited something like 36 hours. There've been worse reports out of Wuhan. Hospitals AND mortuaries are overwhelmed, and it freaking wrecks your society to go through things like that.

Weathering an economic crisis for 6-9 months is bad, no doubt. But if we let a spike happen, we're in uncharted territory -- culturally, psychologically, and many other -lys -- and I don't think anyone knows what economic effects that'd have.

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Flattening the curve [View all] zipplewrath Mar 2020 OP

fewer people die. medical system does not collapse Fresh_Start Mar 2020 #1

I get that zipplewrath Mar 2020 #3

Both curves assume the same number of infected jpak Mar 2020 #9

This Terry_M Mar 2020 #12

Fewer people die as a result of medical system collapse morillon Mar 2020 #2

And the economic impact will be lengthened. zipplewrath Mar 2020 #7

There'd be worse knock-on effects with a spike morillon Mar 2020 #17

Yes you want to prolong it . Not overwhelm critical wards all at once . That's how to prevent death lunasun Mar 2020 #4

Another hope: at some point along the curve, a "cure" and a vaccine might be developed. JustABozoOnThisBus Mar 2020 #5

This too. Treatments and vaccines are currently under trials DrToast Mar 2020 #10

No, it doesn't materially change the number of cases DrToast Mar 2020 #6

We wont know for more than a month what the curve is seeing there's no unfettered testing uponit7771 Mar 2020 #8

The system is not overwelmed bpj62 Mar 2020 #11

Unless vaccine or highly effective treatment arrives VERY quickly MH1 Mar 2020 #13

Whatever graph you're looking at isn't to scale or even a reflection of reality; it's an WhiskeyGrinder Mar 2020 #14

That'll take a year zipplewrath Mar 2020 #15

Talking about economies The_jackalope Mar 2020 #18

Think life during wartime we will survive maybe not pretty maybe ok if we can immediately contain lunasun Mar 2020 #20

What you said. nt The_jackalope Mar 2020 #16

So for really long term preparedness, what about this? LAS14 Mar 2020 #19