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euphorb

(279 posts)

3. A lot depends on what the death rate is a percentage of.

Reply to OhNo-Really (Original post)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 05:00 PM

Mar 2020

Is it percentage of people infected, percentage of people hospitalized, or percentage of people admitted to intensive care? Unless you know what basis a report is based on (and different places may sue different methodologies), it's hard to draw conclusions. And it also depends on the pace of testing. If a lot of people who are infected, but are not sick enough to seek medical help, the death rate (at least as a percentage of people infected) will seem to be higher than it actually is.

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This message was self-deleted by its author [View all] OhNo-Really Mar 2020 OP

Italy's #s as of today Botany Mar 2020 #1

There was an Italian doctor talking about how the young seemed to get off Jarqui Mar 2020 #2

Yes. I linked his report above. OhNo-Really Mar 2020 #4

A lot depends on what the death rate is a percentage of. euphorb Mar 2020 #3

I think it is number of cases "reported" OhNo-Really Mar 2020 #7

My first question would be are the new cases able to get treatment from Italy's overwhelmed ... Jim__ Mar 2020 #5

No, dividing new deaths by new cases is improper, you're not getting the number coti Mar 2020 #6

Will you teach us how you do the math pls? OhNo-Really Mar 2020 #8

Just leave it at total confirmed deaths divided by total confirmed cases, coti Mar 2020 #9

Sorry, wrong. PSPS Mar 2020 #10

OK, you can also add in the cases we don't know about, then. nt coti Mar 2020 #11

Exactly. Is it 1,000? 10,000? 100,000? We don't know but all would give a smaller mortality rate PSPS Mar 2020 #13

It might be lower Turin_C3PO Mar 2020 #14

LOL PSPS Mar 2020 #17

Sorry, I trust experts on this Turin_C3PO Mar 2020 #18

Me too. PSPS Mar 2020 #20

Here is an experts opinion Dem2 Mar 2020 #23

No. PSPS Mar 2020 #24

I was extracting math from his words. Dem2 Mar 2020 #25

The key phrase is "in those tested" PSPS Mar 2020 #27

Just trying to keep my elderly mom alive Dem2 Mar 2020 #28

Focus on the countries that have the best testing per capita and that tandem5 Mar 2020 #12

Excellent information! Thank you! OhNo-Really Mar 2020 #16

I think it's from the overwhelmed hospital system. Crunchy Frog Mar 2020 #15

Ok- crunched numbers sarisataka Mar 2020 #19

More misleading statistics. PSPS Mar 2020 #21

In which case sarisataka Mar 2020 #22

Thanks for your efforts. Chemisse Mar 2020 #29

OhNOES! Indeed! OhZone Mar 2020 #26

I just read Italy's death rate is higher because of an older population (compared to S Korea): Dennis Donovan Mar 2020 #30