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MineralMan

(146,288 posts)
Tue Dec 4, 2018, 11:42 AM Dec 2018

The Population of Planet Earth over the Past 12,000 Years [View all]

The chart below tells a fascinating story. It begins in 10,000 BC and charts estimates of the Earth's human population up to the year 2000. The population from 10,000 BC up to about 2000 BC was low and remained stable, according to these estimates. Then, it began to rise very slowly. Likely, that was because civilization and agriculture was beginning to develop, which allowed more people to survive. Using figures from other sources, I can supply some numbers. In the year 1 CE (AD), the global population was roughly 300 Million. China and the Roman Empire dominated those data. It's worthy of note that the total population of the United States in 2018 is close to 320 million.

1 CE is in the midst of the Iron Age. Growth continued at a slow rate until about 1000 CE, and then started to accelerate. Agriculture, civilization and technology were developing at that time, allowing more people to be fed and survive. If you look at the right side of the chart, you will notice a hyperbolic rise of population that coincides with the very beginnings of science, trade, and industry in about the middle of the second millennium. Once industry was widespread, the population figures spike sharply up, accelerating at an astonishing rate. Today, we have about 7.2 Billion people inhabiting this planet. Going from 300 Million to 7.2 Billion in just 2000 years is mind boggling.

When will we hit 8 Billion? Estimates vary, but it's expected around 2025-2030. The growth curve is almost vertical at this point in human existence. Will it slow down? Perhaps. Some models show it leveling off and stabilizing at about 10 Billion. Why? Because there simply will not be enough resources. One model shows population beginning to fall not long after that. We can't predict, because we don't know the future.

Look at this chart. Try to wrap your mind around what it represents. We are living in the times of peak human population. The current growth rate is unsustainable. It is a problem.



Chart Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population_estimates

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Well, don't forget that sex was only discovered in about 3000 BC. pangaia Dec 2018 #1
LOL! MineralMan Dec 2018 #2
And the Female orgasm in 1975 A HERETIC I AM Dec 2018 #13
HA HA !! pangaia Dec 2018 #18
Ah HA! So it's body heat that's warming up the planet!! Roland99 Dec 2018 #3
More like trying to maintain body heat, really. MineralMan Dec 2018 #4
Hah! PatSeg Dec 2018 #6
It's a recognized contributor, particularly locally Recursion Dec 2018 #9
We also contribute considerable carbon dioxide. MineralMan Dec 2018 #15
Note: The last Ice Age on this planet ended about 12,000 years ago. MineralMan Dec 2018 #5
Perhaps a nit, but the previous Ice Age ended several million years ago. sl8 Dec 2018 #19
some might say we are still in an ice age scarytomcat Dec 2018 #22
Scientists say we are in an ice age. n/t sl8 Dec 2018 #24
Over the same period, wild animal biomass has gone down by 95% The_jackalope Dec 2018 #7
Future Shock (Tofler) called it a J curve for such graphs. BSdetect Dec 2018 #8
Six billion miracles is enough. CrispyQ Dec 2018 #10
Excellent thread. K&R and bookmarked for the charts. yonder Dec 2018 #11
Population growth has gone from exponential to linear since 1980 The_jackalope Dec 2018 #12
Only in some places. Globally, it's still rising exponentially. MineralMan Dec 2018 #14
soon we will see a drop in population ... this when you know the end is coming if you don't already scarytomcat Dec 2018 #23
A more terrifying chart would include estimates of non-human species... Spider Jerusalem Dec 2018 #16
I try to keep my posts limited to a single subject. MineralMan Dec 2018 #17
One thing at a time. MineralMan Dec 2018 #21
exponential population growth + climactic dislocation / finite resources ? pecosbob Dec 2018 #20
We are getting close to a rebalancing either by nature or by manmade destruction. Its overdue. sunonmars Dec 2018 #25
Well, with the lack of research for future antibiotics the population should fall exponentially in a dhol82 Dec 2018 #26
I've heard it said Cartoonist Dec 2018 #27
It will eventually. Snackshack Dec 2018 #28
In my lifetime (70 years) world population has increased from 2.5 billion to 7.2 billion euphorb Dec 2018 #29
Yes. I'm 73. MineralMan Dec 2018 #30
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