nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's Journal25 years ago, there was a Republican US House-member from LA-1cd that was the frontrunner for
US Speaker of House. He dropped out of the Speaker and resigned from the US House of Representatives. That was Bob Livingston.
Steve Scalise is following the footstep of Bob Livingston.
Battleground US Senate Elections that the Democrats will win in 2024.
Biden States
AZ(Gallego-D vs Lake-R vs Sinema-I)
MI(Slotkin-D vs Craig-R)
NV(Rosen-D vs Brown-R)
PA(Casey-D vs McCormick-R)
WI(Baldwin-D vs Clarke-R)
Trump States
Tossup
MT(Tester-D vs Sheehy-R)
OH(Brown-D vs LaRose-R)
Wildcard
FL(Mucarsel Powell-D)
TX(Allred-D)
The political party the wins the state at the Presidential Level will also win at Senate Level.
Biden states are going to win-
AZ(Gallego-D)
CA(Schiff-D or Porter-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
ME(King-I is the de facto D)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Warren-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
NJ(Kim-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
PA(Casey-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
VT(Sanders-I is the de facto D)
VA(Kaine-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
This is what happened in 2016. Democrats will lose US Senate Elections in MT,OH,and WV.
In 2020 the states that went for Trump and the Democratic US Senate nominee are-zero.
Trump- Republican US Senate nominee.
AL
AK
AR
ID
IA
KS
KY
LA
MS
MT
NE
NC
OK
SC
SD
TN
TX
WV
WY
Biden Democratic US Senate nominee.
AZ
CO
DE
Both GA seats
IL
MA
MI
MN
NH
NJ
NM
OR
RI
VA
Biden Republican US Senate nominee
ME
Democrats will hold onto battleground US Senate seats in AZ,MI,NV,PA,and WI.
Democrats will need a weak Republican opponent in MT and OH.
Battleground 2024 US Senate Elections from Likely Democratic win to Likely Republican win.
PA(Casey-D vs McCormick-R)
WI(Baldwin-D vs Clarke-R)
MI(Slotkin-D vs Craig-R)
NV(Rosen-D vs Brown-R)
AZ(Gallego-D vs Lake-R)
OH(Brown-D vs Moreno-R)
MT(Tester-D vs Sheehy-R)
FL(Mucarsel Powell-D vs Scott-R)
TX(Alllred-D vs Cruz-R)
MO(Kunce-D vs Hawley-R).
How many State Attorney General Josh is going to get elected Governor?
Shapiro-PA in 2022
Stein-NC in 2024
Kaul-WI in 2026
Is Angela Alsobrooks(D-MD) going to be the longest serving US Senator from MD if she gets elected
and does not get a position in the Federal Executive Branch?
Alsobrooks will be 53 years old in 2024. Barbara Mikulski and Paul Sarbanes are currently the longest serving US Senators from MD. Both of them served in the US Senate for 30 years. Alsobrooks will be 83 years old after completing 30 years service in the US Senate.
What is Lauren Boebert's political future if she loses to Adam Frisch?
Will she seek a rerematch or will she run for the US Senate in 2026?
Who will the Republicans nominate for the 2026 CO US Senate Election if the Republican candidates are Boebert,Buck,and Lamborn? 2026 CO US Senate Election could be an open seat election if Hickenlooper does not seek re-election and Neguse is the Democratic nominee.
When does Andy Kim(D-NJ) become US Senator? 1/2025 or before that?
Andy Kim will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 NJ US Senate Election and will win in the 11/2024 general election. Bob Menendez will be out of office before the 11/2024 election.
If US Senator Laphonsa Butler(D-CA) decides to run for a 1st full 6 year term next year. Will she be
able to finish in 1st or 2nd place in the blanket primary? Will she be able to win in the 11/2024 general election against Schiff-D,Porter-D,and/or Lee-D?
Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2024 that have not decided whether or not to run.
VT(Sanders-I) will be 83 years old in 11/2024. VT has a Republican Governor.
CA(Butler-D) has to compete against 3 other top tier Democratic candidates.
Schiff-D,Porter-D,and Lee-D).
AZ(Sinema-I) will lose to Gallego-D in the 11/2024 general election. I am waiting to see Mark and Gabby publicly endorse Gallego-D.
NJ(Menendez-D) will lose in the Democratic Primary to Kim-D.
WV(Manchin-D) will lose in the 11/2024 general election.
DE(Carper-D) is not running and will be replaced by Blunt Rochester-D.
MD(Cardin-D) is not running and will be replaced by Alsobrooks-D.
MI(Stabenow-D) is not running and will be replaced by Slotkin-D.
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