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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
March 20, 2022

The maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will have after 2022 is 57.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)MO(Kunce-D or Sifton-D) vs Greitens-R.
57)IA(Finkenauer-D)

March 19, 2022

Maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will end up with after 2023 is 54

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)



March 19, 2022

US Senate races in 2022 that the Democrats are definitely going to win.

37)CA(Padilla-D will face another Democrat in 11/2022 like Feinstein did in 2018 and Harris did in 2016.)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Lamb-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)NC(Beasley-D)
53)GA(Warnock-D) will have to face voters in the 1/2023 runoff and will win.

OH,MO,FL,and IA are pretty red for Democrats to win in a midterm election with a Democratic President.

March 19, 2022

The Democratic majority in the US Senate next Congress will be Manchin/Sinema proof.

In 11/2022, Democrats will be declared winners in
37)CA(Padilla-D faces another Democrat in the 11/2022 general election like Feinstein did in 2018 and Harris did in 2016.)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D or Kenyatta-D)
Fetterman-D is the frontrunner in public opinion polls due to high name ID but is doing poorly in endorsements. Lamb is the clear frontrunner in endorsements. Kenyatta also has more endorsements than Fetterman.
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)NC(Beasley-D)
GA(Warnock-D) will be decided in 1/2023. Warnock-D will be declared a winner like he was in 2020/2021.

March 19, 2022

US Senate Races in 2022 that are winnable for the Democrats.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D or Lasry-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)MO(Kunce-D or Sifton-D) if Greitens-R ends up being the Republican nominee. Greitens is Akin part 2.
Concede FL(Rubio-R has been leading Demings-D in every public opinion poll.).

March 19, 2022

Newly elected Democratic US Senators in 2022,2024,and 2026.

2022
VT(Welch-D)
PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
WI(Barnes-D or Lasry-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
MO(Kunce-D or Sifton-D)
2024
CA(Porter-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
HI(Gabbard-D)
ME(Jared Golden-D or Troy Jackson-D)
MD(John Sarbanes-D or Jamie Raskins-D)
2026
CO(Jared Polis-D, Jason Crow-D, or Joseph Neguse-D)
IL(Lauren Underwood-D)
IA regular(Cindy Axne-D or Abby Finkenauer-D)
IA special(Cindy Axne-D or Abby Finkenauer-D)
ME(Jared Golden or Troy Jackson-D)
NC(Erica Smith-D or Jeff Jackson-D)
RI(David Ciciline-D)

March 19, 2022

Which FL US Senator is hated the most? Rubio or Scott?

If Rubio loses re-election in 2022 or wins by a narrow margin.
Scott loses in 2024 if he is more unpopular than Rubio.


Democrats need to target FL and TX in 2024.
FL(S. Murphy-D or Soto-D)
TX(Allred-D) Professional Football is very popular in TX.

March 19, 2022

Eric Greitens-R for the 2022 Republican primary race for the 2022 MO US Senate Race!

A Republican poll Trafalgar has him in a dead even race against both of the likely Democratic nominees. Lucas Kunce-D and Scott Sifton-D.
Greiten is leading in the Republican primary race in all but one poll.

Democrats are going to hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D) in the 1/2023 runoff.

Democrats are going to pick up
51)PA(OPEN-Toomey-R) Fetterman-D or Lamb-D
52)WI(Johnson-R) Barnes-D or Lasry-D
53)NC(OPEN Burr-R) Beasley-D
54)OH(OPEN Portman-R) Ryan-D
55)MO(OPEN Blunt-R) Kunce-D or Sifton-D
56)FL(Rubio-R) Demings-D


March 19, 2022

US Senate Races in 2022 that the Democrats are gonna be expected to win.

Democratic Favored
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
Tossup
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D) Tilt D
51)GA(Warnock-D)Tossup
52)WI(Barnes-D or Lasry-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D) Tilt R

March 19, 2022

What year is Grassley-IA going to leave the US Senate?

Before 2023
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028

Is he going to leave the US Senate in handcuffs or in a bodybag.
Will IA have 2 US Senate Elections in 2026?

A regular election for Ernst’s seat.
A special election for Grassley’s seat.

Axne runs in the regular election against Ernst.
Finkenauer runs in the special election against Pat Grassley.





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