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Attorney in Texas

Attorney in Texas's Journal
Attorney in Texas's Journal
November 30, 2015

Bernie Sanders makes it clear: He’s playing this game to win

Source: Washington Post

MANCHESTER, N.H — As about 1,400 Democratic activists cozied up next to one another in a New Hampshire ballroom for the party’s annual Jefferson-Jackson Dinner on Sunday night, it was clear that despite the relative calm of the Democratic primary contest, the electorate in New Hampshire is still very much divided — primarily between former secretary of state Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders (Vt.).... “Today, with your help we can pull off one of the great political upsets in the history of our country,” Sanders said.
... On Sunday night, after weeks of holding forth with his usual focus on income inequality, Sanders expanded on his foreign policy views for a lengthy portion of his speech.... “As president, I will defend this country, but I will do it responsibly,” he added, while calling for “rich and powerful” Arab countries to contribute their fair share to the effort to fight terrorism. “We do not need a “tough foreign policy, we need a smart foreign policy.”

“We cannot and should not be trapped in perpetual warfare in the Middle East year after year after year,” he added....As he often does, Sanders noted that Americans are clamoring for “real change."

And he is offering his version of change that he thinks would bring younger and more enthusiastic voters to the polls.

“Republicans win when voter turnout is low,” Sanders said. “I see a future not just for my candidacy but for the Democratic Party.”

Read more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2015/11/30/bernie-sanders-makes-it-clear-hes-playing-this-game-to-win/

November 30, 2015

Interesting 538 analysis: "Will The New Hampshire Union Leader’s Endorsement Help Chris Christie?"

link; excerpt:

Chris Christie ... added the New Hampshire Union Leader’s endorsement. The backing of the state’s biggest paper has historically been a leading indicator of how New Hampshire Republicans are likely to vote. Whether that will prove true for Christie is an open question.

Up until the paper backed Newt Gingrich four years ago, every candidate the Union Leader endorsed since 1980 gained in the polls afterward. ... On average, the Union Leader’s preferred candidate outperformed their polls by 8 percentage points ... Of course, 8 percentage points isn’t exactly winning the lottery. Christie currently has about 5 percent in New Hampshire polls. An extra 8 percentage points would put him at 13 percent. That probably won’t be enough to win the primary. Christie would need to pick up closer to the 21 percentage points that John McCain did in the 2008 campaign to win. And even if Christie did that, 26 percent would still be less than the percentage that every single New Hampshire primary winner received since 1972.

Also, the Union Leader’s endorsement didn’t foretell a Gingrich surge. After he was endorsed by the paper, Gingrich lost 10 percentage points.

I personally don't think Christie has a snowball's chance in hell (or -- as I like to say -- a neurosurgeon's chance in politics) of winning the nomination, but anything to disrupt the Rubio and Cruz campaigns is fine by me.
November 28, 2015

When comparing Obama 2007 to Sanders 2015, remember Clinton was viewed favorably in 2007 but now

is viewed unfavorably:

Current favorable/unfavorable polling: Clinton has a 41% favorable poll rating and 52% unfavorable poll rating (for a -11% net unfavorable rating).

Historic favorable/unfavorable polling: Clinton had a 52% favorable poll rating and a 45% unfavorable poll rating (for a +7% net favorable rating) in Nov. 2007.

Meanwhile, Sanders has a net positive favorable rating (+4%) that is 15% better than Clinton's net negative (-11%) rating.

More significantly, votes in the 2008 primary said the top two words associated with Clinton were "tough" and "smart":



Now, the top two words associated with Clinton are "liar" and "dishonest":



For those who keep insisting 2007 isn't 2015 -- NO SHIT; WE'VE NOTICED.

Clinton is much less liked now and she is more polarizing. This is general election poison.

November 28, 2015

ABC News: "What to Know About 'BernieCare,' Sanders' Health Overhaul"

link; excerpt:
The most ambitious "repeal and replace" health care plan from a presidential candidate comes from Sen. Bernie Sanders, ... The Vermont independent who's ... "single-payer" plan, loosely modeled on how health care is financed in Canada and most of Western Europe.
...
What would be eliminated would be things such as insurance premiums, deductibles and copays. In their place would be taxes...
Simplicity of use and breadth of coverage would be big draws for consumers.

You could go to the doctor or spend two weeks in the hospital and not worry about getting a bill.

No insurance premiums, deductibles, cost-sharing or copays, even for brand-name medications. Gone would be worries about being penalized for seeing an out-of-network doctor.

Long-term care would be covered, whether in a nursing facility or one's own home. Most dental care would be covered, too.

That's attractive, especially for working families struggling with out-of-pocket costs for health care.

But the plan would raise taxes. Among them would be a new 2.2 percent "health care income tax," with higher rates for upper-income earners.
...
Single-payer ... would aim to slow the rate of growth in costs by putting hospitals on budgets, negotiating drug prices with pharmaceutical companies and eliminating much of the waste that many experts believe characterizes the U.S. health care system.

Administrative savings would come from doing away with layers of insurance company bureaucracy. Those would be offset somewhat because the government bureaucracy would grow.
...
Over the long haul, some experts believe that single-payer gives policymakers more powerful tools to control costs. But that doesn't magically solve the problem. Countries with long-established government-run systems also struggle with their health care spending.
November 28, 2015

The 21 craziest quotes from the campaign trail

link (to the article selecting the quotes).

1. "I would bomb the shit out of them."

Trump on his foreign policy regarding the Islamic State.

2. “My own personal theory is that Joseph built the pyramids to store grain. Now all the archaeologists think that they were made for the pharaohs’ graves. But, you know, it would have to be something awfully big if you stop and think about it,” the Johns Hopkins neurosurgeon said. “And I don’t think it’d just disappear over the course of time to store that much grain.”

Carson demonstrating that competence in neurosurgery does not translate into other fields.

3. “You may have seen I recently launched a Snapchat account. I love it. I love it. Those messages disappear all by themselves.”

Clinton reflecting her understanding of the severity of her email misjudgment (part 1).

4. "What, like with a cloth or something?"

Clinton answering a questions about wiped emails, again demonstrating her understanding of her email misjudgment (part 2).

5. “I would not advocate that we put a Muslim in charge of this nation. I absolutely would not agree with that.”

Carson on being a bigot.

6. "The American people are sick and tired of hearing about your damn emails"

Sanders watching Clinton's back.

7. "Look at that face! Would anyone vote for that? Can you imagine that, the face of our next president?!”

Trump commenting on Fiorina and confirming he is a sexist.

8. “After this attack in West Africa, Obama’s new domestic terrorism plan probably requires Americans to memorize Koran verses.”

Huckabee on being a complete asshole.

9. “Well, in addition to the NRA, the health insurance companies, the drug companies, the Iranians, probably the Republicans.”


Clinton listing her enemies.

10. “I’d have to say the enemy soldier that threw the grenade that wounded me, but he's not around right now to talk to.”

Webb listing his enemies.

11. "Blood coming out of her wherever."


Trump suggesting debate moderator Megyn Kelly asked him tough questions because she was menstruating and re-confirming he is a sexist.

12. "They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists. And some, I assume, are good people."

Trump on Mexican immigration, confirming he is a bigot.

13. “Strom Thurmond had four kids after age 67. If you're not willing to do that, we need to come up with a new immigration system.”

Graham on Mexican immigration, confirming he is creepy.

14. "I would not just stand there and let him shoot me, I would say, ‘Hey guys, everybody attack him. He may shoot me, but he can’t get us all.”

Carson offering his proposed solution to mass shootings.

15. “If people are bringing — pregnant women are coming in to have babies simply because they can do it, then there ought to be greater enforcement, better enforcement so that you don’t have these, you know, ‘anchor babies,’ as they’re described, coming into the country.”

Bush confirming that, when it comes to immigration policy, he'll do his best be be as racist as Trump and creepy as Graham.

16. “As regards Planned Parenthood, anyone who has watched this videotape, I dare Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama to watch these tapes. Watch a fully formed fetus on the table, its heart beating, its legs kicking while someone says we have to keep it alive to harvest its brain. This is about the character of our nation, and if we will not stand up in and force President Obama to veto this bill, shame on us.”

Fiorina on being a liar and not caring who knows it.

17. "You don't cure a child molester."

Trump comparing Carson to a child molester.

18. “You know, the Chinese are there, as well as the Russians, and you have all kinds of factions there.”

Carson confirming that his ignorance of ancient Egypt is rivaled by his ignorance of modern Syria.

19. “People need to work longer hours.”

Bush explaining his economic agenda.

20. On May 11: “I would have, and so would have Hillary Clinton, just to remind everybody, and so would have almost everybody that was confronted with the intelligence they got.” On May 13: “Of course anybody would have made different decisions.” On May 14: “If we're all supposed to answer hypothetical questions, knowing what we know now, I would not have engaged. I would not have gone into Iraq. That's not to say that the world is safer because Saddam Hussein is gone. It is significantly safer.”

Bush debating himself and losing.

21. “He’s not a war hero. He was a war hero because he was captured. I like people who weren’t captured."

Trump on heroism.
November 28, 2015

Bernie Sanders Hearkens Back to Old-Time Socialist Presidential Candidate Eugene Debs

Source: The Wall Street Journal

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders’s upstart presidential candidacy is being fueled by voter sentiment that hasn’t been so prominent for nearly a century: a fight between the economic haves and have-nots.

It’s a stewing sense of unfairness last tapped to broad affect by a couple of his political heroes: socialist presidential candidates Eugene Debs and Norman Thomas, each of whom lost five times in the early part of the 20th century....“Only once in a great while does a figure like Bernie Sanders come along,” said Paul Buhle, a retired Brown University American studies professor and Sanders supporter. “Whether he wins or loses, he still has made a great impression.”
...
Income inequality declined during the Great Depression and remained mild through the early 1980s, but it has picked up since then. Now, as Mr. Sanders makes his run for the White House, the top 1% of income earners are taking in about the same percentage of all income as they did a century ago, the economists report. Last year, the measure reached 17.85%.

Mr. Sanders harkened back to the New Deal in a recent speech dedicated to explaining what it means to him to be a self-described Democratic socialist today.... In a reference to Mr. Roosevelt, Mr. Sanders noted: “By the way, almost everything he proposed was called ‘socialist.’ ”


Read more: http://www.wsj.com/articles/bernie-sanders-hearkens-back-to-old-time-socialist-presidential-candidate-eugene-debs-1448657303



The full report is well worth a read!
November 28, 2015

Sanders supporters rally in Wapakoneta

Source: The Lima News

WAPAKONETA — Holding signs with phrases like, “Fighting for the Middle Class,” “Power to the People” and “Save America,” members of West Central Ohio for Bernie Sanders stood by Bellefontaine Avenue, receiving honks and hand waves of support from some of the midday commuters. ... Wapakoneta resident Sallie Cooper had never rallied behind a candidate before but had said if Sanders would run, she would back him.

“Bernie is attracting supporters in both parties,” she said. “I’ve followed him for years. If you’ve looked back on his political career, he’s always fought for the underdog.”

While Sanders has touched on such points as ending corporate tax breaks and taxing top earners to fund social programs, Monbeck noted that what Sanders has to say is relevant to people at the local level, as well.

“A lot of businesses along this street are minimum-wage businesses,” Monbeck said. “There has been a big redistribution of wealth over the past 40 years to the upper class, and it’s time for that money to come back to the middle class. One way to do that is to raise the minimum wage. Bernie’s proposal is to raise it to $15 an hour, and with that comes a lot of purchasing power.”


Read more: http://limaohio.com/news/157344/sanders-supporters-rally-in-wapakoneta

November 28, 2015

In Texas, Clinton viewed favorably by only 71% Democrats, 22% Independents, and 5% Republicans

OUCH!

Also, regardless of party identification, only 36% of women (as contrasted with a mere 31% of men) have a favorable opinion of Clinton.

Clinton would be down ballot poison.
November 27, 2015

Sanders now leads Clinton in New Hampshire, Maine, Utah, and Vermont

Most recent polls in each state:

New Hampshire - CBS/YouGov poll November 15–19, 2015 = 52% Sanders; 45% Clinton

Maine - Critical Insights poll September 24–30, 2015 = 28% Sanders; 27% Clinton

Utah - Dan Jones & Associates poll November 5-14, 2015 = 26% Sanders; 18% Clinton

Vermont - Castleton University poll August 24 - September 14, 2015 = 65% Sanders; 14% Clinton

November 27, 2015

Forward: "Does Hillary Clinton Have a Haim Saban Problem?"

link; excerpt:

Haim Saban, one of Hillary Clinton’s top donors, may be aligned with the Democratic Party. But when it comes to Mideast politics, he’s far from a progressive.
...
Except Saban’s top priority isn’t a liberal vision of American life. It’s Israel. And he makes no secret of that. “I’m a one-issue guy, and my issue is Israel,” Saban told the New Yorker in 2010.

Last week, Saban displayed a propensity all-too-common among right-leaning Israel advocates in the U.S.: a bit of anti-Muslim bigotry. In an interview, he rejected President Obama’s declaration that a religious test for refugees was “shameful.” Later, Saban, in a statement to the Washington Post, disavowed his push for a religious test and insisted that he “misspoke” — a dubious claim, if you ask me, though he might’ve legitimately been sorry he opened his mouth about the hot-button issue.
...
Yet Saban’s original comments included more than just advocating a blanket policy that Muslim refugees deserved “more scrutiny.” He also called for profiling and broader surveillance. He said civil liberties should be curtailed in a time of war—never mentioning that the U.S. seems to be locked in a never-ending war.


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