March 29, 2016

The Dynamic Social Impact Theory I think this theory is at work here

The Dynamic Social Impact Theory was developed by Latané and his colleagues in 1996. This theory is considered an extension of the Social Impact Theory as it uses its basic principles, mainly that social influence is determined by the strength, immediacy, and number of sources present, to describe how majority and minority group members influence one another. As its name suggests, the Dynamic Social Impact Theory proposes that groups are complex systems that are constantly changing and are never static. Groups that are spatially distributed and interact repeatedly organize and reorganize themselves in four basic patterns: consolidation, clustering, correlation, and continuing diversity. These patterns allow for group dynamics to operate and ideas to be diffused throughout the group.[4]

1. Consolidation – as individuals interact with each other, over time, their actions, attitudes, and opinions become uniform. In this manner, opinions held by the majority of the group spread to the minority, which then decreases in size.

2. Clustering – individuals tend to interact with clusters of group members with similar opinions. Clusters are common when group members communicate more frequently with members in close proximity, and less frequently with members who are more distant. Minority group members are often shielded from majority influence due to clustering. Therefore, subgroups can emerge which may possess similar ideas to one another, but hold different beliefs than the majority population.

3. Correlation – over time, individual group members` opinions on a variety of issues converge and correlate with each other; this is true even of issues that are not discussed by the group.

4. Continuing Diversity – a degree of diversity can exist within a group if minority group members cluster together or minority members who communicate with majority members resist majority influence. However, if the majority is large or minority members are physically isolated from one another, this diversity drops.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_impact_theory

March 29, 2016

So Bernie's plans involve a revolution of millions of previously

disinterested people becoming involved in the political process to become a reality.

His path to the nomination involves going all the way to the convention where super delegates in Hillary's camp will flip and vote for him.

Neither of those are or will be happening. He is not turning out millions of new voters at the polls. No delegates have flipped yet.

How is it that he still says those things and he is not being untruthful?

March 28, 2016

One Trump, one not going to vote, me for Hillary, wife wants Warren, no one for Bernie.

That was the political discussion here with the in-laws at Easter gathering in CA.

My wife and I do not try to convince each other how to vote. But she did say she wished Warren was running.

My Orange County brother-in-law is for Trump. My wife's sister (his wife) does not vote. My wife's gay sister and her wife did not state a preference.

No one brought up Bernie. He just isn't thought about in our family.

March 26, 2016

Sanders needs to win more than 67 percent of the remaining delegates overall

But turning that passionate support into the party nomination is growing increasingly difficult. Clinton has a delegate lead of 1,223 to 920 over Sanders, according to an Associated Press analysis, an advantage that expands to 1,691-949 once the superdelegates, or party officials who can back either candidate, are included.

Based on that count, Sanders still needs to win 58 percent of the remaining delegates from primaries and caucuses to have a majority of those delegates by June's end.

His bar is even higher when the party officials are considered. He needs to win more than 67 percent of the remaining delegates overall — from primaries, caucuses and the ranks of uncommitted superdelegates — to prevail.

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/sanders-seeks-caucus-trifecta-win-to-close-delegate-gap/ar-BBqWFmD?li=BBnb7Kz


Well here is my early "congratulations" to Bernie supporters for today's wins. Enjoy them while you can.

Come back when we travel to the Eastern part of the country for a whopping.

March 24, 2016

Some perspective on Bill and Hillary

Clinton Most Admired Woman for Record 20th Time

http://www.gallup.com/poll/187922/clinton-admired-woman-record-20th-time.aspx







Bill Clinton's 1993-2001 Term Average:

55%

Bill Clinton's First-Term Average:

50%

Bill Clinton's Second-Term Average:

61%

Bill Clinton's High Point:

73%

(Dec 19-20, 1998)




Bill Clinton's Low Point:

37%

( Jun 5-6, 1993)


http://www.gallup.com/poll/116584/presidential-approval-ratings-bill-clinton.aspx

March 24, 2016

It seems strange that Bernie folks would be celebrating everytime

some new media story comes out about an investigation into the Clinton Foundation or the emails or what ever is out there to destroy Hillary.

These are right wing attempts to destroy all of us. The right knows Hillary will be our nominee. As such she is our fire wall.

If they knock Hillary out they get to rule everything. The White House, the Congress and the SCOTUS

Bernie can't be helped anymore by attacking Hillary. The math is against him.

March 24, 2016

Poll: Clinton would crush Trump in general election

Hillary Clinton would crush Donald Trump in a hypothetical general election match-up, a new national survey found.


According to a Bloomberg Politics poll released Wednesday, Clinton leads Trump 54 percent to 36 percent in a contest between the two front-runners.

Also troubling for Trump, only 29 percent of likely general election voters nationally have a favorable view of him, compared to 68 percent who view him negatively.

Trump s favorability rating is at an all-time low in the survey, while his negative rating has gone up 13 points since November and has hit a new high.

Clinton is similarly under-water on favorability, with 44 percent saying they have positive view of her and 53 percent saying they view her negatively.

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/poll-clinton-would-crush-trump-in-general-election/ar-BBqQrt5?li=BBnb7Kz

March 24, 2016

Hillary's campaign spends money efficiently. It raises less than Bernie but gets better results.

Hillary's campaign has effective gatherings. Smaller than Bernie's but she gets her message across effectively.

Hillary's campaign is winning the primary season. She has millions of more votes than Bernie and more delegates.


I think Hillary will make a very effective President. She knows how to put together a winning team.

March 23, 2016

Kamala Harris now has a Repub running against her for the Senate

Kamala Harris for Senate


Friend,

I have an important race update to give you.

A Republican millionaire made a last-minute decision to officially enter the California Senate race -- just as the deadline to file closed.

Now that we have an additional opponent, the stakes are even higher. People will be paying close attention to our FEC fundraising numbers.

The deadline for our first big FEC goal of the election year is in 8 days. We’re off to a good start, but our grassroots team has to be ready for anything. You can help us hit $50,000 with a $5 or $10 contribution.

I know $50,000 sounds lofty, but we have a lot of work to do in the coming months. With your continued support we can withstand any challenges that come our way.

Being prepared is what got us this far -- and it’s what will keep us surging ahead in the days to come.

Thank you,

Kamala



https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/khe160323?refcode=khe160323_A&recurring=true&amount=25.00

March 23, 2016

If ever we get in the position to do so, we need to have national

standards for elections. We need to prevent elections being rigged by anyone or organization.

Maybe a Constitutional Amendment establishing a right to vote.