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democrattotheend

democrattotheend's Journal
democrattotheend's Journal
August 3, 2016

Politico: Few Republicans want to campaign with Trump

Over the past week, POLITICO surveyed nearly 50 GOP candidates in competitive House, Senate and governor’s races on whether they’d be willing to campaign with the Republican nominee. Only a handful said yes — and the rest said no, refused to commit or didn’t respond at all.

It’s an unusual turn of events. Typically down-ballot candidates — eager to generate excitement and media attention for themselves, to turbocharge fundraising, and to increase their stature — spend the fall months proudly campaigning alongside their presidential nominee.

But in the year of Trump, appearing on the same stage as the party’s standard-bearer — whose negative ratings are higher than any other GOP nominee's in recent memory — is perilous for those running in hypercompetitive states and districts.

“I would recommend they have a perpetual scheduling conflict,” said Rob Jesmer, a former National Republican Senatorial Committee executive director who advises a number of the party’s most prominent lawmakers.


http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/donald-trump-republicans-campaigning-226583

I just hope he is not collapsing too early. If he does either he will drop out (unlikely but possible) or the GOP will have time to all distance themselves so that the damage to other Republican candidates is minimal.
August 2, 2016

Is Trump even playing to win anymore (if ever)?


I read that his original goal was to come in a strong second in the primaries and strengthen his brand. But now I think his ego has gotten to him and I thought he was playing to win, until I saw his campaign schedule for this week. Any Republican who wastes time campaigning in New York is not playing to win, especially when he can barely hold onto Georgia and Utah.

I could see the merits of campaigning in a Democratic-leaning but not rock solid state like New Jersey or Minnesota to potentially force Hillary to defend traditionally blue states, but New York? Obama got 63% of the vote here in 2012, and Hillary represented the state for 8 years in the Senate. Trump is nuts for believing he has a chance here.

His ridiculous campaign schedule, combined with how much he seems to be self destructing, makes me wonder if he is even playing to win, or if he has decided he'd rather make more money running his businesses?

August 1, 2016

CNN: Why Trump is Campaigning in Blue States

CNN's Nia-Malika Henderson noted that Trump is campaigning this week in Maine and New York, two states that traditionally go blue in presidential politics.
He'll also be in Virginia, Ohio and Pennsylvania. But it's the two states he'll be in Thursday that are raising eyebrows among Republicans.
Maine makes sense because it's a funky state that splits its electoral votes, though that's never happened. Trump has also said he wants to play aggressively in his native New York, where some Republicans on the ground think he may do well in rural areas upstate.
But other Republicans say it's not a good idea for him to spend any time at all in New York, which Hillary Clinton represented in the Senate for eight years.


Maine's 2nd Congressional district is one of the few places that I think the Busters/JillNotHill movement could really hurt us. Maine, like Vermont, is more open than most states to third party candidates, and Maine's 2nd Congressional district is more conservative than the rest of the state. It's only 1 electoral vote, but I have at least one electoral map scenario that's 269-269.

With respect to New York, I say bring it on. No way Hillary loses here.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/31/politics/ip-forecast-trump-schedule-nc-voter-id-law-pence/

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Member since: Wed Jan 30, 2008, 03:33 PM
Number of posts: 11,605

About democrattotheend

I'm a lawyer representing workers and consumers and a longtime Democratic activist. Nothing I say on here, including any comments about legal topics, should be construed as legal advice or creating an attorney-client relationship.
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