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stevenleser

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Name: Steven Leser
Gender: Male
Hometown: New York, NY
Home country: USA
Current location: NYC
Member since: Tue Jan 4, 2005, 05:36 PM
Number of posts: 30,539

Journal Archives

Oh man it felt so good to vote FOR Hillary and against hatred and bigotry. Here's my ballot!

Straight D baby!



That IBD poll that shows Trump ahead today, yep, you guessed it, they sampled more Rs than Ds

http://www.investors.com/politics/ibd-tipp-presidential-election-poll/

"Party identification breakdownUnweighted) 328 Democrats/361 Republicans/314 Independents; (Weighted) 319/322/344. Results in table above are based on weighted sample."
-------------------------------------------
Even after weighing they over-sampled Republicans. Of course Trump is ahead if you do that.

That is not going to be the sample that shows up on election day, however.

Polls that were done between Nov 4 - Nov 6 all show a strong rebound for Hillary

and that was before the FBI exoneration.

We still need to GOTV but I really like how this is looking.

If you were wondering why no recent crazyness from Trump's aka Der #Gropenfuhrer twitter account...

It's coming down to NC, FL, CO and NV.

This picture shows where we are in the race right now. It's coming down to 4 states, NC, FL, CO and NV. Hillary needs only one of them to win. Trump needs all four. Hillary leads in all of them right now.

Hillary 323
Trump 215

Nevada 6
Colorado 9
North Carolina 15
Florida 29
These total 59.

If Hillary loses those states Hillary has 264 EVs and Trump has 274.
Hillary needs one of those states, Trump needs all four. Thats the election.

If you have twitter please retweet this tweet of mine. A few folks have retweeted already

https://twitter.com/stevenleser/status/792886614313857024

@MSNBC & @CNN Where is coverage of the trials @RealdonaldTrump has coming up? Thank you @goldengateblond #p2 #HillaryClinton #Democrats

Re: "I don't know who is worse, Hillary or Trump..."

I'm just not that worked up about this email thing yet. I want to see whether it moves the polls.

I have some doubts that it will. And if additional information comes out that it is a big bag of nothing, like this article suggests, http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-fbi-clinton-email-probe-20161028-story.html, in particular...

The emails were not to or from Clinton, and contained information that appeared to be more of what agents had already uncovered, the official said, but in an abundance of caution, they felt they needed to further scrutinize them.


...any impact will be blunted. We'll have to see. Another thing that mitigates any potential impact is that a lot of people have already voted.
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