Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumBernie Sanders Might Have a Michigan Problem
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/06/upshot/bernie-sanders-michigan-problem.htmlBut Mr. Sanders has so far failed to match his 2016 strength across the white, working-class North this year, and that suggests it will be hard for him to win Michigan.
This pattern has held without exception this primary season. It was true in Iowa and New Hampshire against Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar. It was true in Maine, Minnesota, Massachusetts and even Vermont on Super Tuesday against Mr. Biden.
Over all, Mr. Biden defeated Mr. Sanders by 10 points, 38 percent to 28 percent, in counties across Maine, Minnesota and Massachusetts where white voters made up at least 80 percent of the electorate and where college graduates represented less than 40 percent of the electorate. According to the exit polls, Mr. Biden was tied or ahead among white voters in every state east of the Mississippi River on Super Tuesday.
This is a marked departure from 2016. Back then, Mr. Sanders tended to excel among white, working-class and rural voters across the North. This made Michigan, where white voters represent a well-above-average share of the Democratic electorate, one of his stronger states. He dominated in Michigans small towns and rural areas, losing only in few counties that tended to have older voters.
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primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
frazzled
(18,402 posts)His Scranton roots and all. I guess that's why Obama picked him. I was never sure about the accuracy of this claim. I guess it's true.
Having the African-American vote and white working-class vote together is what I guess explains his strength.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
democrattotheend
(11,607 posts)Probably stronger against Bernie in this group than Hillary was. Then again, Hillary was the one who was stronger with that group 8 years earlier, in 2008, so who knows?
It was highly ironic to me in the fall of 2016 that the pundits were asking if Hillary could win the white working class voters that Obama won, when 8 years earlier they'd been asking incessantly whether Obama could win the white working class voters who had gone overwhelmingly for Hillary in the primaries.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Bev54
(10,093 posts)Warren was the progressive, his ego was too big. He misread his popularity or lack thereof but once again just acted a spoiler for a woman candidate.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NCProgressive
(1,315 posts)Without showing any give and take to expand his base.
We have had a disastrous experience with someone who made the race all about him already.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Recursion
(56,582 posts)But, yeah, that's a big one
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
William769
(55,150 posts)He will.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden