Bernie in Iowa, now and then.

[crazytown]

DMZ/Selzer Polls- Favorables

Net Favorables 2016 +70, 2020 +37.

2016
Total Favorable 82%
Total Unfavorable 12%

2020
Total Favorable 66%
Total Unfavorable 29%

Very Favorable %
2020 32
2016 42

Mostly Favorable %
2020 33
2016 40

Mostly Unfavorable %
2020 16
2016 8

Very Unfavorable %
2020 13
2016 4

DMR/Selzer, January 30, 2016
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2016/01/30/clinton-keeps-slim-edge-over-sanders-latest-iowa-poll/79537020/

DMR/Selzer, January 10, 2020
http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/01/10/rel1_ia.-.democrats.pdf

[ritapria]

1. The other side of the Story

Bernie's Iowa campaign is vastly better organized in 2020 than was the case in 2016 ………44,000 Iowans have "taken action" on behalf of his campaign in 2019- 2020 …..That group alone will constitute about 17.6% of the expected Iowa Caucus turnout in 2020 ..The campaign is not focusing on attracting "likely caucus voters" measured in the DMR poll ...Bernie is going to outperform the polls … The DMR sample poll of likely caucus voters posit the theory that only 27% of the vote will be comprised of 1st time Caucus goers ………… That is old school polling ...The percent of first timers is going to be a lot larger than that , and many of them are going to be for Bernard …. The working class and the youngsters will show up in force … Ignore the polls this time around

[crazytown]

2. Favorability is relevant to caucusing, when the supporters of non viable candidates,

head elsewhere, which is why I posted these numbers,

Senator Sanders is not the clear skin he was in 2106. He will pickup less attendees without a viable candidate than in 2016. Until recently, Bernie was the clear second choice of Biden supporters, based mainly on name recognition. Given the aggressive, nasty campaign campaign waged by David Sirota, et al, against Biden in Social Media, these will not break Bernie's way in the relevant districts.

[George II]

5. Better organized and getting much worse results. That's interesting.

[Hortensis]

3. :) NOW can we have the serious scrutiny of Sanders that most MSM

avoided almost entirely THEN?

People need to know what kind of people the candidates are so they'll have a fighting chance to guess how and what they might do if elected.

[ehrnst]

6. Thank you. (nt)