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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

Autumn

(45,120 posts)
Tue Oct 29, 2019, 01:57 PM Oct 2019

Sanders takes lead in new poll of New Hampshire

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/467922-sanders-takes-lead-in-new-poll-of-new-hampshire


Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) leads the field of contenders in the first-in-the-nation primary state of New Hampshire, with Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) close behind.

The latest CNN-University of New Hampshire survey finds Sanders at 21 percent, followed by Warren at 18 percent.

Former Vice President Joe Biden comes in third place at 15 percent, followed by South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 10 percent and three candidates — tech entrepreneur Andrew Yang, Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-Hawaii) and Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) — tied at 5 percent support.

Sanders has the highest favorability rating in the field at 66 percent positive and 23 percent negative. Warren posts a 63-25 split and Biden rings in at 55-30.

New Hampshire voters also view Sanders as most likable, with 27 percent liking him the most, 20 percent saying Biden, 14 percent for Buttigieg and 10 percent for Warren.




If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Sanders takes lead in new poll of New Hampshire (Original Post) Autumn Oct 2019 OP
Message auto-removed Name removed Oct 2019 #1
Kicked and recommended Uncle Joe Oct 2019 #2
He and Warren are within the 4.1% margin of error -- so they're tied, statistically. pnwmom Oct 2019 #3
Biden -9 BeyondGeography Oct 2019 #4
With the Buttigieg bump pnwpolicy Oct 2019 #5
... NurseJackie Oct 2019 #6
Desperately looking for good news... TexasTowelie Oct 2019 #7
I think Beto will qualify for November, see my post #8 nt Celerity Oct 2019 #9
damn, that means Gabbard is only 1 more 5% state poll away from qualifying for November Celerity Oct 2019 #8
Thanks for that information. TexasTowelie Oct 2019 #11
Here is some interesting polling Gothmog Oct 2019 #10
Also in the article is this: George II Oct 2019 #12
"Fifty-seven percent of New Hampshire voters are still trying to decide who they will support." ehrnst Oct 2019 #13

Response to Autumn (Original post)

 

Uncle Joe

(58,622 posts)
2. Kicked and recommended
Tue Oct 29, 2019, 02:23 PM
Oct 2019

Thanks for the thread Autumn.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

pnwmom

(109,029 posts)
3. He and Warren are within the 4.1% margin of error -- so they're tied, statistically.
Tue Oct 29, 2019, 03:09 PM
Oct 2019

The poll of Democratic primary voters had a sample size of 574.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

pnwpolicy

(32 posts)
5. With the Buttigieg bump
Tue Oct 29, 2019, 03:24 PM
Oct 2019

Looks like the moderate wing of the party is now splitting like the progressive wing.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
6. ...
Tue Oct 29, 2019, 03:39 PM
Oct 2019

New Hampshire... the New England state right next door to Vermont... that one? Well, that's his demographic... I can understand why he'd be well-liked there. After all, it's very easy to please a homogeneous group of individuals who largely think alike and who largely have the same problems and concerns and philosophy and culture. The real challenge for a candidate is to do the same thing nationwide, with a variety of different states and regions. And, we see that BS clearly has problems in more diverse areas. therefore, I think it's a mistake to hold-up this poll a being some sort of "trendsetting" indicator. It's rather unsurprising, actually.



If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

TexasTowelie

(112,796 posts)
7. Desperately looking for good news...
Tue Oct 29, 2019, 03:44 PM
Oct 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Celerity

(43,846 posts)
9. I think Beto will qualify for November, see my post #8 nt
Tue Oct 29, 2019, 03:46 PM
Oct 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Celerity

(43,846 posts)
8. damn, that means Gabbard is only 1 more 5% state poll away from qualifying for November
Tue Oct 29, 2019, 03:44 PM
Oct 2019

and only two 3% polls nationally away as well

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

TexasTowelie

(112,796 posts)
11. Thanks for that information.
Tue Oct 29, 2019, 03:53 PM
Oct 2019

It looks like Castro is going to be the candidate excluded from the debates. I think that Beto will qualify for the next debate.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Gothmog

(146,114 posts)
10. Here is some interesting polling
Tue Oct 29, 2019, 03:53 PM
Oct 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

George II

(67,782 posts)
12. Also in the article is this:
Tue Oct 29, 2019, 03:58 PM
Oct 2019
"Fifty-seven percent of New Hampshire voters are still trying to decide who they will support. Only 23 percent have definitely decided, and 21 percent are leaning toward one candidate."


So the majority of voters have not even decided on who they prefer next February, and only 23% have made a definite decision.

Another interesting part of the poll is the voters' opinion of which candidates have the best chance to win the General Election:

Biden 36%
Warren 18%
Sanders 14%
Buttigieg 3%

So in their eyes of the voters Biden has twice the chance of winning the General Election than Warren, who is in second place.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
13. "Fifty-seven percent of New Hampshire voters are still trying to decide who they will support."
Tue Oct 29, 2019, 07:08 PM
Oct 2019

Sounds like a landslide....

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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