Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumHere Are The 8 Declared Senate Candidates in Texas
Last edited Thu Aug 15, 2019, 10:45 PM - Edit history (1)
All of us, Beto for President supporters included, want to to beat John Cornyn in 2020. These fantastic individuals are running to do just that. Pick a candidate you like and send money their way or volunteer!
- Chris Bell, former U.S. Representative for Texas's 25th congressional district
- Michael Cooper, pastor and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2018. Nominee for governor in 2006, and candidate for mayor of Houston in 2015
- Amanda Edwards, Houston City Council member
- MJ Hegar, retired United States Air Force Major and nominee for Texas's 31st congressional district in 2018
- Sema Hernandez, activist and organizer for the Poor People's Campaign, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018
- Adrian Ocegueda, financial analyst and candidate for governor in 2018
- Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, labor organizer and author
- Royce West, state senator
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
alittlelark
(18,891 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
liskddksil
(2,753 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Life_Long_Democrat
(81 posts)His presidential campaign is going nowhere. At least in the Senate he can do some good.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
liskddksil
(2,753 posts)and doing a great disservice to the Democratic party.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Life_Long_Democrat
(81 posts)but an honest opinion of the situation.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
tritsofme
(17,470 posts)The field of Senate candidates doesnt become stronger if we wish harder.
If Beto announced for the Senate tomorrow, he would be the undisputed frontrunner.
That reality speaks to the underlying weakness of the current field, and further demonstrates the need for him to end his quixotic presidential campaign and do something productive for the country.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
liskddksil
(2,753 posts)If you're interested in the Senate race than support the people running! But I get the feeling that the reason so many want Beto to drop out has nothing to do with the Senate seat, but is because Beto is a threat to their candidate.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
tritsofme
(17,470 posts)Whether Beto (or you) likes it or not, he is the strongest potential Senate candidate, by orders of magnitude.
There is little point in pretending otherwise.
And honestly, I dont know if you actually believe what you said, but I cant imagine any of the actual candidates are shaking in their boots, or perceive one flailing minor candidate among a dozen others, as a threat.
His presidential campaign is a quixotic waste of time and money, a Senate campaign could actually accomplish something.
Wouldnt it be some shit if there was a new Democratic president next year, and while Beto is at home playing video games, McConnell and Cornyn have a one vote majority in the Senate...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Celerity
(43,926 posts)run for Senate in 2020, zero. He was absolutely unflinching in his turndown of that option. It 99.9% is not going to happen and I accept and respect his decision. Part of the reason I can accept that versus the other 11 states of the 12 possible flips is that Texas is by far the hardest (Kentucky is probably the 2nd hardest), no matter who runs. Cornyn is not Cruz, he is far more formidable and a loss (especially a large one) for Beto in a 2020 Senate race would be a stake in the heart of future political runs for him, at least at a major level, IMHO.
The big problem we have is that right now is that of those 12 possible flip states, only AZ (Mark Kelly) has our strongest possible candidate running. Hickenlooper in CO would make it two, and I think CO is ours, even if Hickenlooper is not our candidate (CO is also the only state I can say is pretty much a lock, or at least on the way to being a lock, for a flip.) That still leaves 10 others who lack the best possible candidate. That simply must change.
Here is my rundown:
We need a plus 4 net to flip the Senate to 51-49 as it stands, and 5 if Paedo Moore is not the Rethug Alabama nominee (and even that bastard will be hard for Jones to beat in a POTUS year in Alabama.)
These are all the remotely possible races where we can flip, all 12 of them. Some are very much a stretch, and also we are having a lot of big names refuse to run, in fact, all the arguably best candidates in 11 of the 12 states have all refused, so far, to run.
Arizona (Mark Kelly has a great chance at beating McSally. This is the one state so far that we have the best potential candidate already running.)
Alaska (I hope Mark Begich, our ex US Senator, runs versus Sullivan, he has said he was not, but now may change his mind)
Maine (Susan Rice, who has said no quite emphatically, would have been the best to knock out shitbox Collins IMHO, but hopefully we can find another one, it looks likely to be Sara Gideon atm)
Montana (Bullock is basically the only one of ours who would have a great chance at beating Daines, I think Bullock would defeat him, but he has said dozens of times he will not run.)
Colorado (even if Hickenlooper refuses, I think Gardner goes down, but Hickenlooper makes it 90-95% that we flip)
Tennessee (open Rethug seat, due to Alexander retiring, I so hope Tim McGraw reconsiders his turndown, he would have the best shot from all I have seen, most of the other candidates we have are already one time losers, some just last year, or retty unknown. The two I see who are the best should McGraw not change his mind are Jeff Yarbro and James Mackler)
Georgia (Stacey Abrams and Sally Yates would have had the best chances by far to beat Perdue, but each one has said no over and over, so it is going to be much harder I fear, even though Perdue is weak, and a shit campaigner. So far it looks like the best of the rest are Teresa Tomlinson and perhaps Jon Ossoff )
Kansas (open Rethug seat due to Roberts retiring, the right candidate for us has a shot, maybe Kathleen Sebelius, but she also just said no, and a big local paper says that really hurts our chances)
Iowa (Cindy Axne and Vilsack, probably our 2 best chances to beat Ernst, both have declined to run, but I have hope we can find another great candidate, Theresa Greenfield or Abby Finkenauer look to be the best of the rest)
North Carolina (our two best candidates by far, Foxx and Stein, have both said no, and I so hope one, especially Foxx, re-considers.) Tillis is so ripe for the picking if we get one of those 2 to run, and still may have a shot if it is another, Cal Cunningham perhaps, or Erica Smith, but both will have a harder time that Stein or Foxx would have had.
Kentucky This is probably the 2nd toughest. Andy Beshear might have had a shot at dumping McTurtle, but he is running for Governor, Amy McGrath is who we are going to have to roll with, and it is not impossible, due to McConnell being truly hated even by some Rethugs, his overall approval numbers are worse than Rump by far, amongst the bottom in all the Senate. Overall a huge reach, but so hope Moscow Mitch goes DOWN. McGrath needs to make no more errors like the one she did right at kickoff (saying she would have voted yes for Kavanaugh for SCOTUS. The same thing crushed Bredeson in TN in 2018, it so depressed our base turnout.)
Texas Cornyn in Texas is the toughest reach, IMHO, even if Beto runs (which I doubt he will.) Cornyn is streets ahead of Cruz in terms of TX popularity.
We would need to win five of those to flip the Senate to 51-49 if Jones loses in Alabama, and only Colorado is even close to one that I would say has a pretty good chance to label a semi-lock, and some (especially TX and KY) are just downright so so hard, even if the best candidates change their minds and run. 52-48 is the magic number for us, as that negates Manchin (WV) and Sinema (AZ), who by FAR are the most likely to vote with the Rethugs (they both do so around 55% of the time, the next highest is the Independent, Angus King of Maine, at only 39%.)
Schumer and Cortez Masto have been so poor at recruiting the best candidates as it stands, it is one of the biggest stories of 2020 so far.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)She's a wee bit young, but her policies and positions are sound, her support network beginning to coalesce, and her eloquence rises to the level of O'Rourke's.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
PDittie
(8,322 posts)The ones you list plus Jack Daniel Foster, Jr.
https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_Texas,_2020
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
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