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CountAllVotes

(20,868 posts)
Mon May 23, 2016, 10:21 PM May 2016

Bernie Sanders Projected To Win California With 61.25% Gaining 398 Delegates

Polling in California gives a clear indication Bernie will win with 61.25%. This also could give him enough delegates to take the lead over Hillary. As we posted in “How Bernie Sanders Is Going To Win”

If you are a Bernie Supporter who does Phone Banking, this is the moment you need to dedicate more time then you ever have before. California is by far the most important state in this race.



http://sourceplanet.net/politics/bernie-sanders-projected-to-win-california-with-61-25-gaining-398-delegates/

Great news! Sanders for President 2016!

Ahead in California which is no surprise to me!

398 Delegates are on Bernie Sanders' way! & Feel The Bern!



34 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Bernie Sanders Projected To Win California With 61.25% Gaining 398 Delegates (Original Post) CountAllVotes May 2016 OP
Yes yes... mikeysnot May 2016 #1
Yes yes yes !!!! CountAllVotes May 2016 #2
Wow TheFarseer May 2016 #3
It creeps me out that there will be no exit polling in California. bjo59 May 2016 #4
Me too Jennylynn May 2016 #5
Yeah - I LiberalElite May 2016 #22
How do they do exit polling anyways? Joob May 2016 #20
This is why he had to drop out (before California) Nyan May 2016 #6
Bernie Sanders is going nowhere CountAllVotes May 2016 #7
HOT F'ING DAMN!!!!!! Duckfan May 2016 #8
Well, I hope so but I am in NM and you would not believe the Land of Enchantment May 2016 #13
I don't look at her - just like I avoided looking at Cruz - LiberalElite May 2016 #23
Agree. She is too fake for me. I'm good at reading people and I don't like her jillan May 2016 #28
K&R! Thanks! nt Land of Enchantment May 2016 #9
You are welcome! CountAllVotes May 2016 #10
Aw Land of Enchantment May 2016 #11
Yeah I'm sick again CountAllVotes May 2016 #12
:( Jennylynn May 2016 #14
Next time I have a cat near death Flying Squirrel May 2016 #21
Going to take her to see someone else today CountAllVotes May 2016 #27
Some people are a lot sicker than the average person. Flying Squirrel May 2016 #31
Sending you virtual hugs. jillan May 2016 #29
I'm sorry NJCher May 2016 #16
Forward, Sandernistas Jack Rabbit May 2016 #15
Sure hope so! silvershadow May 2016 #17
K & R findrskeep May 2016 #18
That's great news, but the math is misleading dreamnightwind May 2016 #19
I'm not trying to be a killjoy davidpdx May 2016 #24
Post removed Post removed May 2016 #25
David isn't a troll riderinthestorm May 2016 #30
Thank you rider davidpdx May 2016 #34
I'm just waiting to see how she's gonna steal it this time. n/t Jester Messiah May 2016 #26
i'M SENDING HIM SOME $$$ NOW Duckfan May 2016 #32
How much he NEEDS and If this was right.. (LOTS of MATH) Joob May 2016 #33

Duckfan

(1,268 posts)
8. HOT F'ING DAMN!!!!!!
Mon May 23, 2016, 10:41 PM
May 2016

This needs to be spread around to keep the troops pumped!! I think he will get PR and New Mexico as well. About 60 for PR, 34 in NM. Add that to the 398 and you get 492. So with the split I'm guessing Bernie could get about 400 in one week! WOW. Then I hope to get HC's pic off my computer. I'm sick of looking at her.

Land of Enchantment

(1,217 posts)
13. Well, I hope so but I am in NM and you would not believe the
Mon May 23, 2016, 11:00 PM
May 2016

band of idgits running the party here. Complete nincompoops. HRC is Deeply Entrenched. Closed primary.
The last governor's race they ran Gary King, son of Bruce King. In the 70's when Texas tried to STEAL our water, Bruce threatened to call out the Enchilada Air Force and bomb them. Texas was drilling water wells on our side of the eastern boundary. Bruce was like God here, Gary, not so much. He won the D-primary with only 20% of voters turning out then went on to be crushed by Suzanna Martinez--the worst governor ever. She had to win so she could be Jeb!s VP but that didn't work out for her. Local news tonight said she will NOT be attending Trump's rally here next week. Bubba will be here too at the same time. I have some hope but not a lot....sorry

jillan

(39,451 posts)
28. Agree. She is too fake for me. I'm good at reading people and I don't like her
Tue May 24, 2016, 01:26 PM
May 2016

body language or the way she rolls her eyes at people that question her.

Land of Enchantment

(1,217 posts)
11. Aw
Mon May 23, 2016, 10:52 PM
May 2016

something personal or the interminable bs going on here?

I've gone a few rounds here this evening, not much fun. This might bring you some cheer!

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1017375993

 

Flying Squirrel

(3,041 posts)
21. Next time I have a cat near death
Tue May 24, 2016, 05:02 AM
May 2016

I'm putting him down. It was so awful watching the last one die. (I'm sure it was no picnic for him either)

CountAllVotes

(20,868 posts)
27. Going to take her to see someone else today
Tue May 24, 2016, 01:06 PM
May 2016

In my decrepit condition we will go! I got the name of someone else and they told me the place I took her too was a batch of crooks!

I'll be taking her there today to find out what they think the problem is.

She is absolutely the sweetest cat I've ever had the pleasure of having and I'm not ready to let her go quite yet until I have some answers at to what the problem is.

Glad to know that those other people are crooks because when I get better, I'll sue the fuckers. Yes I will. That you can believe in. Seems they charged $1500 on a lady's credit card that is disabled without her consent. I'm going after these SOBs, believe me because I hate hearing about this kind of crap and what about the next person out there?!

 

Flying Squirrel

(3,041 posts)
31. Some people are a lot sicker than the average person.
Tue May 24, 2016, 02:08 PM
May 2016

Hope you are able to stop these ones. Good luck with your cat.

Jack Rabbit

(45,984 posts)
15. Forward, Sandernistas
Mon May 23, 2016, 11:13 PM
May 2016

Let's beat those windmills.
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[/center][font size="1"]Don Quixote et Sancho Panza by Gustave Doré from on_Quijote_and_Sancho_Panza.jpg" target="_blank">Wikimedia Commons
(Public Domain)
[/font]

dreamnightwind

(4,775 posts)
19. That's great news, but the math is misleading
Tue May 24, 2016, 03:18 AM
May 2016

First, I hope Bernie can pull off that margin of victory here in California. There is a ton of enthusiasm for him. An exit poll would be informative too.

But the 398 figure (she would get 147) is derived by multiplying California's total delegate count by 0.73 (73%), which was Bernie's percentage in Washington (pretty random if you ask me, and definitely best case).

With the 61.25% he is apparently polling at (I'm taking their word for it), he gets 334 delegates, she gets 212 (rounding).

We definitely need to do all we can in these last few primaries. Phone bank, tabling (too late now for registration changes), door knocking efforts, sticker up anything that is yours and gets seen, yard signs, attend Bernie Light Brigade events or Honk and Waves, let's see what we can do and figure out what to do next after the primary.

There are a lot of storm clouds around Team Clinton these days, from FBI investigations to alarmingly high negative polling, and her poor polling in a head-to-head against Trump, not to mention a late surge by Sanders. Plenty of reasons to fight to the end.

davidpdx

(22,000 posts)
24. I'm not trying to be a killjoy
Tue May 24, 2016, 10:32 AM
May 2016

But I don't think 61.25% is going to be enough. He needs to win with closer to 70% to turn this around. This IS his last hurrah (along with the other states). He can go to the convention with less pledged delegates than her, but he has to stop her from going over the number of delegates needed with only the pledged ones.

California is my birth state (don't tell anyone I admitted that ok?) so I'm rooting for a big win there.

Response to davidpdx (Reply #24)

 

riderinthestorm

(23,272 posts)
30. David isn't a troll
Tue May 24, 2016, 01:38 PM
May 2016


Please consider deleting. He's pointing out a fact and one we should keep in mind imo.

Bernie may not get the number he needs to overtake Clinton but it would be good if he prevents her from getting the magic number too. It makes the convention so much more important.

davidpdx

(22,000 posts)
34. Thank you rider
Wed May 25, 2016, 11:32 PM
May 2016

I've been here since 2008 and have almost 22,000 posts. Some people are just fucking loony.

Joob

(1,065 posts)
33. How much he NEEDS and If this was right.. (LOTS of MATH)
Tue May 24, 2016, 05:26 PM
May 2016
California has 475 pledged delegates

(disclaimer: all this math is if Bernie has 1499 pledged delegates and Clinton has 1771 pledged delegates)
(also: I get different percentages, but all that matters is how much pledged delegates he wins)


Bernie would need 128.5remaining pledged delegates after the win
Hillary would need 177.5 remaining pledged delegates after the lost

He'd be in the lead of pledged delegates!!


Regardless, after counting Cali, 306 pledged delegates would remain.


Bernie would need 41.99346405228758% of remaining pledged delegates

Hillary would need 58.00653594771242% of remaining pledged delegates


NOW. let me see if I can get that number.. 398 delegates...
For me.. when i do the math 398 of 475 is 83.78947368421053% of 475

not 61.25%.For that, I get 290.9375 pledged delegates, round to 291 Then.. let's see.
After adding everything...

Bernie would need 235.5 pledged delegates
Hillary would need 15 more pledged delegates.
(this would be if Bernie only wins 291 pledged delegates)

He would need 76.96078431372549% of remaining pledged delegates after winning
She would need 4.90196078431373% of remaining pledged delegates after losing.

So he definitely can't let her win that much delegates.


At the end of the day. After all the math. Bernie has a 272 pledged delegate gap. Right?
He would need a 388.5 pledged delegate win. To tie it up!
(And I get 81.78947368421053% win of Cali with that!)


If any of my math is wrong please explain where I went wrong Also, I'm not sure how they split their delegates so that's probably why the percentages I'm getting is different.)
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