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Oixi1993

(81 posts)
Mon May 16, 2016, 12:31 PM May 2016

Oregon

Ok, Oregonians...What gives? I have been there and would have thought it was Sanders country but I just saw a poll with Clinton up 15. I guess as a newbie to the Progressive cause I still believe people will come to their senses and elect the best candidate I have ever seen and I am 56. I have never been so enthused.

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Else You Are Mad

(3,040 posts)
2. I don't put much stock...
Mon May 16, 2016, 12:35 PM
May 2016

In outlier poll results, especially those that come out close to the election day --as this one did. They usually are either: 1) used to get reaction ratings/hits for news or websites; or 2) A poll with an agenda to skew or discourage people from going out to vote.

Bernin4U

(812 posts)
5. Joke used to be, a trend is the shortest distance between 2 data points.
Mon May 16, 2016, 01:18 PM
May 2016

Now apparently it only takes 1. Funny how that works.

I can't see any reason why she'd do better in OR than she did in WA. In WA, she did about the best in Pugetopolis, which if anything is somewhere between slightly to substantially less liberal than Portland.

So I'd love to know where this big advantage for her could be coming from.

jalan48

(13,990 posts)
6. I haven't talked to one person voting for Hillary here.
Mon May 16, 2016, 01:54 PM
May 2016

I've seen zero Hillary bumper stickers and hundreds for Bernie.

Bernin4U

(812 posts)
7. Not that we can rely on that too much.
Mon May 16, 2016, 02:20 PM
May 2016

HRH supporters seem to have a hard time coughing up a dollar for her, let alone the $5-10 for a bumper sticker.

I just wonder what could possibly be better for her in OR than in WA?

At the Safeco rally, I bumped into one of the WA State field managers. I had no idea where we really stood, but asked him if we might get 60%. His reply was 65% or better. Of course, we soon found out he was right about "or better".

I have a feeling that the campaign has a pretty good idea about it, even if they tend to keep it quiet.

But the poll from the OP, that so much of the media seems happy to hand its hat on, seems pretty useless.

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