2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumOhio Poll: Obama Ahead As Romney Stumbles-Obama Taking Control In Key Swing State
Ohio Poll: Obama Ahead As Romney Stumbles
A new poll from Public Policy Polling (D) shows that while former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is sewing up the Republican nomination, the process is dragging him down in key swing states PPP numbers from Ohio show that a 56 percent majority of general election voters now view Romney unfavorably, which leads to a seven point deficit in a matchup with President Obama.
Obama leads Romney 49 - 42 in the new Ohio poll, a state where the political ground has shifted greatly over the last few months. After the massive defeat of SB 5, the anti-union legislation pushed by state Republicans, Obama has seen a major turnaround in his numbers on the ground.
Back in October, PPPs President Dean Debnam said that were the election to have been held then, Obama would have lost. PPPs analysis at the time suggested it would be hard to see more support coming to the president as the election got closer. The SB 5 vote moved the state back toward Obama in PPPs November poll, resulting in a nine point lead, and it seems that trend is continuing into the new year.
The race in Ohio is going to get closer because there are so many more undecided Republicans than Democrats, PPP pollster Tom Jensen wrote in a email to TPM. But it does look like Obamas chances at matching his 3-4 point victory in the state from 2008 are pretty good right now. John Kasich [Ohios Gov. and chief proponent of SB 5] has really hurt the Republican brand in the state and the economys getting better. Romneys not popular enough to overcome those two factors if they persist through November.
more:
http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/02/ohio-poll-obama-moves-ahead-as-romney-stumbles.php
PRETZEL
(3,245 posts)that what Gov. Corbett is doing in PA is doing just as much to help the President as Gov. Kasich is doing in Ohio.
Obamacare
(277 posts)Gov. Rick Scott is extremely unpopular in FL and has hurt the rethug brand down here. So Fl will definitely be in play this year.
cash__whatiwant
(396 posts)they have no path if they can't win ohio. i can't imagine bain capital romney doing well in a place where so many people are hurting economically.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)In fact if Obama wins Ohio he probably wont need Florida.
mucifer
(23,542 posts)this might change.