2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPoll: Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump lead in Florida
"ATLANTA Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump retain their lead in their parties Florida presidential primaries, but each has someone new nipping at the heels, according to a survey released Thursday.
The poll was conducted Tuesday evening for Morris News Service by Opinion Savvy.
Among those registered voters who said they plan to participate in the Republican primary, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has fallen to third place, and Sen. Marco Rubio to fourth. Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson has leapfrogged to second, just 4 points behind real-estate developer Trump.
A similar survey also for the T-U released Aug. 7 showed Carson third. Now hes tripled his support in the Sunshine State while Bush has fallen to third and lost 7 points.
In the meantime, Trump has added 2 points, and in the shuffle widened his lead over second from 1 point to 4.
Rubio hasnt budged in fourth place. Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina has risen to fifth place by building her 1 percent then up to 5 percent now.
Trumps strongest support by far comes from the youngest of voters (age 18-29). But he also seems to be strong with those aged 45-64, a potent segment of Florida GOP primary voters, said veteran pollster and Republican operative Matt Towery. Carson has a big lead among the 30-44 age group. Thats a segment that tends to be most active with schools and community issues related to their children.
Bush remains consistent among all age groups but has lost his earlier steam, at least for the moment.
Democratic voters still mostly favor Clinton, the former first lady, senator and secretary of state.
She has a comfortable lead over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, 52-20, with Vice President Joe Biden the third-most favorite at 15 percent."
http://savannahnow.com/elections/2015-09-04/poll-clinton-trump-lead-florida
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,719 posts)Look at how nonsensical the subsamples are on page one:
http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/FL-Democrat-PresPrim-9.3.15.pdf
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)Persondem
(1,936 posts)Dems HRC-Sanders-Biden = 51-24-15
Reps Trump-Carson-Bush-Etc. = 34-25-11-who cares
Full story here.
Skwmom
(12,685 posts)else.
FloridaBlues
(4,014 posts)What surprises me is the dropping of Rubio and bush. I think bush will take Florida in the long run as will Hillary her support is very solid in our blue county's.