2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFor those underestimating Bernie's ability to win the Democratic Party's nomination, don't forget
Truman defeated Dewey.
And, Truman did not have the power of social media behind him. Truman just "gave them hell" by speaking the truth in a way that people understood.
Bernie is doing the same, and he has the power of social media behind him. And, if you doubt the power of social media to affect real change: Two words: "Arab Spring." We all can add more examples, but that's enough to make the point.
If I were Hillary Clinton, or one of her supporters, I would not be feeling comfortable right now. Rather, I would be acting as if I were the underdog.
Something tells me it is going to be a long primary campaign ahead!
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)I am very comfortable. but thank you for worrying for us.
rateyes
(17,438 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)I admire your enthusiasm but I don't see the parallels between the two races.
rateyes
(17,438 posts)It resonates!
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)Because that election has so many similarities to today!
heheh.
rateyes
(17,438 posts)Polling showed Dewey winning by 5 to 15 percent. Democrats used those polling numbers to motivate their GOTV efforts. Truman went on his Whistle Stop tour and drew huge crowds, speaking unvarnished truth. And all of that was in the face of a split within the Democratic Party. Don't forget that Truman even won despite a third party run by the then Dixiecrat Strom Thurmond who won several southern states.
Do not underestimate the power of speaking the truth without hedging.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)Nate Silver did an article on this very subject years ago, about how very much better polling in the U.S. is today.
in 2012, the GOP were doing the whole "Dewey Defeats Truman" thing too. They were also wrong.
ibegurpard
(16,685 posts)I highly doubt this OP was aimed at you.
LWolf
(46,179 posts)That's an indication of increasing levels of worry and stress.
I get why neo-liberal Democrats would be frantically scrambling for every way they can to bully, marginalize, patronize, ridicule, and mislead.
When the attacks begin resembling the klown kar, we must be doing something right.
rateyes
(17,438 posts)A Republican congress and Senate that would work with Dewey toward a more business friendly government. The people, however, were upset over union busting legislation like the Taft-Hartley act. I see a lot of parallels between Sanders and Truman and today's election environment compared to then.
Truman got a majority Democratic House and Senate.
L0oniX
(31,493 posts)wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)This is not even close to being a good comparison.
rateyes
(17,438 posts)Ok.
wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x23246
rateyes
(17,438 posts)Point than it does yours. But, I will agree to disagree with you. I think you are underestimating the unrest. And, I think that Bernie and Harry have a lot in common. And, BTW, I also think that those who "liked Ike" will love Bernie.