2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum2016 US Senate Election- which top tier candidate will run?
Coffman(R-CO) Lean D to Tossup D
Sandoval(R-NV) Lean D to Lean R
Hassan(D-NH) Lean R to Tossup D
Feingold(D-WI) Tossup D to Lean D
Democrats will win Tossup Races in FL(Murphy),IL(Duckworth),and OH(Strickland)47D
If all of the top tier candidates run, Democrats will win CO(Bennet),NH(Hassan) and WI(Feingold) 50D
If neither of the top tier candidates run, Democrats will win CO(Bennet),NV(Cortez Masto) and WI(Kind)
yeoman6987
(14,449 posts)We need all the wins possible because 2018, we are back to defending many of our seats like 2014. The more we win in 2016 will help at least keep the Senate in 2018.
NPolitics1979
(613 posts)FL(Nelson-D vs Scott-R)
IN(Donnelly-D vs one of Republican US House Members)
ME(King-I vs LePage-R)
MI(Stabenow-D vs Snyder-R)
MO(McCaskill-D vs one of Republican US House Members)
MT(Tester-D vs Stapleton-R)
NM(Heinrich-D vs Martinez-R)
ND(Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R)
OH(Brown-D vs Kasich-R)
WV(Manchin-D vs one of Republican US House Members)
WI(Baldwin-D vs Walker-R)
yeoman6987
(14,449 posts)But since 30 percent vote during off-year elections, anything can happen.
craigmatic
(4,510 posts)MO because of the Ferguson thing and many people disliking how McCaskill tried to play both sides. Manchin may not run for senate and might go back to being governor.
NPolitics1979
(613 posts)qwlauren35
(6,154 posts)Or is it likely that the state will go Republican?
Haven't heard much about her around here.
fizzgig
(24,146 posts)we lost a far more liberal senator in mark udall last year. i honestly would love to see bennet primaried from the left.