2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumChris Christie will not be GOP nominee: Nate Silver
Scott Walker would make George Bush look like a saint... I do not care who the Democrats run.. they will be 1,000 % better than Scott Walker..
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/clinton-has-a-78--of-winning-democratic-nomination--nate-silver-151120593.html
Nate Silver, author of The Signal and the Noise and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight is 78% sure Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic Party candidate, despite the fact that she has yet to even announce she's running. "Shes as sure as any non-incumbents ever been," he says. He puts Senator Elizabeth Warren in at 7% odds and Vice President Joe Biden in at 4%.
Top White House official and campaign veteran Mandy Grunwald, left the White House this week to work for Ready for Hillary Super PAC further fueling rumors that Clinton is joining the race.
Potential Republican candidates find a much more crowded pool with a large number of Senators, Governors and Congressmen already vying for the top spot. While the odds are ever changing, Silver puts Florida Governor Jeb Bush in a tie for front-runner with Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker. He believes they each have a 25% chance of winning the nomination.
PeaceNikki
(27,985 posts)Walker, I mean
postulater
(5,075 posts)Half-Century Man
(5,279 posts)ALEC Walker.
Hope the John Doe investigations sink this turd.
Vincardog
(20,234 posts)Tarheel_Dem
(31,240 posts)<Young Democrats across all demographics pick Clinton to be the partys next nominee, according to the survey. More than half 57 percent of the Democrats surveyed prefer Clinton, compared with 10 percent who choose Vice President Joe Biden and another 10 percent who want Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren. At 19 percent, a large chunk are still undecided.
More than three-quarters millennials say they are at least very likely to vote in the 2016 presidential election, a level of enthusiasm that has the potential to dwarf previous turnouts from young people in past elections.
In all, 77 percent 18 to 34-year-olds are absolutely certain or very likely to vote in 2016, according to the survey. Another 14 percent said they will possibly vote, bringing the total up to 91 percent. Just 8 percent say they are not likely to vote, while 1 percent is undecided.>
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10026182275
Vincardog
(20,234 posts)Tarheel_Dem
(31,240 posts)onehandle
(51,122 posts)Jinx, you owe me a Coke.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,240 posts)Vincardog
(20,234 posts)Tarheel_Dem
(31,240 posts)"ISIS is growing in strength. It has money, it has organization, it has the capacity to inflict real damage. So when we think about a response we have to think about how to destroy that," Warren told Yahoo's Katie Couric.
Warren agreed that "time is of the essence."
"We need to be working now, full-speed ahead, with other countries, to destroy ISIS. That should be our No. 1 priority," she said in a wide-ranging interview promoting her latest book, A Fighting Chance.
"The terrorists have moved, and we have to move in response," she said, adding part of that "means we're going to have to change in fundamental ways how we monitor our citizens when they go abroad."
http://thehill.com/policy/international/216559-warren-destroying-isis-should-be-our-no-1-priority
Sounds kinda hawkish to me, but she was damn near 50 before she jumped off the Republican bandwagon, so I guess it shouldn't be surprising. This is probably why she has already endorsed Hillary.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)Yet I love them both.
blkmusclmachine
(16,149 posts)quaker bill
(8,224 posts)It only assures a republican president in 2021. But then pretty much any Dem winning in 2016 assures a republican win in 2020. It is just how this stuff works.
Hillary will get a term if she wants one.
Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)I'd like to see her actually lead instead of adopt an endless series of "safe", poll-tested campaign positions, but I do think she has the possibility of being a very strong, electable candidate.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,240 posts)onehandle
(51,122 posts)Nobody can beat her.
Rosa Luxemburg
(28,627 posts)MFM008
(19,818 posts)Hillary, Biden, whoever is it. period.
Vic Tree
(90 posts)In other words, a Huckabee-Norris ticket.
McCamy Taylor
(19,240 posts)bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)Christie will not be the nominee he just gives him a 5% Chance right now.Anything can happen with the GOP clown car but I live in NJ and even New Jersey residents don't want to see him run he's only got a 38% approval rating the only ones proping him up is the media