Any updates on 2014 local / state mid term races in your area?

[pinto]

I live in a largely blue state with a "safe" Democratic Congressional district. So I expect we'll send Dems back to Congress and the Senate. What's going on in your neighborhood?

[Rhiannon12866]

1. As of the last congressional election, we've been redistricted. *sigh*

I was in NY-20, Kirsten Gillibrand's district. After she was appointed senator when Hillary Clinton became SoS, her Democratic successor, Scott Murphy, won the "special election" in 2009, then lost in 2010. I worked on both of his campaigns.

But now we're suddenly NY-21, lumped in with the areas way up north. The incumbent Democrat, Bill Owens, won in a squeaker the last time, but he's up for reelection in November and has decided to retire. I sent to the local "meet and greet" where he introduced Aaron Woolf, the new Democratic candidate, and was very impressed. I made GOTV calls for him last week, plan on doing a lot more as we get closer to November.

The Republican primary in June determined his opponent. Matt Doheny, the candidate who lost to Bill Owens the last time, also lost in the primary to Elise Stefanik, a Paul Ryan protegee who we've learned is also backed by Karl Rove. This election is going to be really important in determining the future of the NY North Country.

[dsc]

2. Hagan is hanging on but in trouble

the legislative session is over so Tillis can both campaign and raise money without the headlines of the latest outrage of our tea party legislature. It is hard for me to see Hagan getting over 50 but there is a libertarian candidate who might take enough of the vote to let her win with say 48

[Chan790]

3. Connecticut.

Of the 5 House seats, all 5 are probably safe. One (CT-5) has been targeted by the RCCC and RNC as a pickup target but that's honestly wishful thinking on their part; they're running the same loser (Mark Greenberg) that lost the previous two Republican primaries for this district. Esty hasn't screwed up and the demographics of CT are interesting...5 is the last district in the state that the GOP can really contest but following the Murphy and Esty wins, it seems that the seat is narrowly the Democrats' to lose rather than the GOP's to win.

There is no Senate race in CT this term.

The Governor's race between Foley and Malloy is going to be tight...but we're probably losing the Governor's office. Again, it was Malloy's to lose...and did he ever screw up. He made enemies out of RKBA activists, but that wouldn't be an issue if he hadn't screwed-up so many other places. He also made enemies out of the teacher's union, state employees, has engaged in the worst of conservative austerity measures while pursuing insane tax policies that have raised taxes at the bottom of the income scale, (in sneaky ways like increasing "use taxes", effectively implementing a VAT; and promising a tax-rebate of $55 to poor-and middle-class taxpayers that he failed to deliver) and on small business. (Straight-out jacked-up business tax-rates then exempted the largest companies in the state from them.) He's shocked...shocked!...that big business, CT old money and Wall Street isn't going to save him after the amount of time and effort he's spent prostituting himself to them over the past 4 years. (Dan Malloy is the poster child for why we should run DINOs out of the Democratic party with torches, pitchforks, tar-barrels and feathers.) If there's a Democratic constituent in this state that Dannel Malloy hasn't pissed-on-or-off in his 3.75 years in office, I'd like to meet them and ask them how they avoided his crap-fest. Fortunately, the CGA and CT Senate are Democratically-dominated...Foley isn't getting anything he wants unless he horse-trades bigger fish for it.

Want to roll-back gun-control? Approve this tax bill.
Want to discuss pension reform? Yeah, no.
The only way we're discussing rolling-back the Medicaid expansion if it you sign-off on this equivalent replacement.
If you want your tax breaks in the budget, you have to pay for them out of conservative sacred cows.

Foley may win but he's going to get Romneyed by the CT legislatures if he does.

[bigwillq]

8. I refuse to vote for Malloy

or for Foley. Both suck, imo.

But I will be voting this Nov. I always vote.

[Chan790]

9. You and most people I know here. n/t

[YoungDemCA]

4. CA-17: Rep. Mike Honda vs Ro Khanna

DINO Mayor of San Jose Chuck Reed just endorsed Khanna.

http://www.mercurynews.com/nation-world/ci_26350031/san-jose-mayor-chuck-reed-endorses-ro-khanna

[JayhawkSD]

5. CA-53 Susan Davis will return to the House.

She is not even campaigning, as she is running unopposed. She's a Democrat, but this is not democracy.

[fizzgig]

6. i live in jared polis' district

co-4, so that's a safe seat. however, the co senate race is a statistical tie between mark udall and cory gardner and i hope my state is smart enough to not give that seat to a bagger puke

we really need to gotv this election.

[craigmatic]

7. GA- Nunn got Zell's endorsement but is behind. Carter is close but still probably behind.