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Patrick Murphy now leading Rubio 49/48 (Original Post) misterhighwasted Nov 2016 OP
Reliable pollster. This was expected. And, this makes for a 51-49 current prediction. Coyotl Nov 2016 #2
Yup. One more Senator to support President Clinton misterhighwasted Nov 2016 #6
"Little Marco" may be going down. yellowcanine Nov 2016 #3
A couple thoughts Cosmocat Nov 2016 #4
I hear they are counting votes in Florida. Demsrule86 Nov 2016 #5
The DNC messed up on this one. nt onehandle Nov 2016 #7
Fifty state strategy works. Iggo Nov 2016 #18
For once, yay to tightening! treestar Nov 2016 #11
I'm sure my contribution put him over the top. Baitball Blogger Nov 2016 #14
C'mon Florida voters -- You got this!! malchickiwick Nov 2016 #16
I hope it is true. Nate Silver rates Survey Monkey C- though still_one Nov 2016 #17
I'll take it anyway! misterhighwasted Nov 2016 #21
so will I still_one Nov 2016 #23
Lol. IKR! misterhighwasted Nov 2016 #28
I rate Nate Silver C- nevergiveup Nov 2016 #33
Wouldn't that be something! SticksnStones Nov 2016 #19
OH be still my thumping heart HAB911 Nov 2016 #22
Oh yea!!! kwolf68 Nov 2016 #24
Marco is sweating now... Fahrenthold451 Nov 2016 #26
I would love to see whinny ass Rubio defeated! n/t RKP5637 Nov 2016 #27
If Rubio Loses. PoorMonger Nov 2016 #29
if we win this-- HUGE kevink077 Nov 2016 #30
So it is written, please let it be so. OnDoutside Nov 2016 #31
Please let it be so JDC Nov 2016 #32
not a very valid poll, sorry to bubble burst Grey Lemercier Nov 2016 #35
Not buying that. Not tonight. It's not over till the last vote is counted misterhighwasted Nov 2016 #39
So let me get this straight, you thoroughly accept all the meta poll aggregators when they say Grey Lemercier Nov 2016 #42
At this point in the game I'll forego it all for a positive "C'mon Florida"!! misterhighwasted Nov 2016 #54
I will cheer too, and hope all the entire polling industry and myself are dead wrong! Grey Lemercier Nov 2016 #56
K&R jg10003 Nov 2016 #63
Several polls have this race within 1%. And you're completely ignoring early voting numbers. RAFisher Nov 2016 #71
So, as you are taking Survey Monkey as gospel, then you must expect these outcomes Grey Lemercier Nov 2016 #47
Geezus. SM is hardly gospel. Much like most of the pollsters. misterhighwasted Nov 2016 #57
These pretzels Bob Loblaw Nov 2016 #37
Marco Rubio deserves to lose because he stands for NOTHING. TrekLuver Nov 2016 #41
EXACTLY. MBS Nov 2016 #51
Bye-bye rubio Equinox Moon Nov 2016 #43
I'll believe it when I see it bucolic_frolic Nov 2016 #44
oh yes PLEASE!! PLEASE!! MBS Nov 2016 #48
didn't the DSCC pull out already? pstokely Nov 2016 #50
K & R Coyotl Nov 2016 #52
I live here and Rubio's pretty popular.. I will be totally amazed if Murphy pulls this out! secondwind Nov 2016 #53
Same Awsi Dooger Nov 2016 #59
I think Survey Monkey is online polling edhopper Nov 2016 #58
YAS! Florida, YAS! This is all I want for Christmas! Firebrand Gary Nov 2016 #60
I'm going with a Murphy win. Polls or no polls misterhighwasted Nov 2016 #61
Could happen voteearlyvoteoften Nov 2016 #64
Schumer and DSCC dropped the ball when they bailed on Murphy jg10003 Nov 2016 #65
C'mon give Marco his due, ... CRH Nov 2016 #66
Please GOTV in Florida Stargleamer Nov 2016 #70
Excellent! KewlKat Nov 2016 #72
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Cosmocat

(14,632 posts)
4. A couple thoughts
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 05:50 PM
Nov 2016

we are seeing some of these senate races bounce back a bit after the comey hit job.

Keep in mind here though, this is a race where 1/3 of the vote is in.

And, Survey Monkey is pretty all over the place.

Iggo

(47,736 posts)
18. Fifty state strategy works.
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:08 PM
Nov 2016

Whatever the fuck DWS has been doing the last eight years does not work.

malchickiwick

(1,474 posts)
16. C'mon Florida voters -- You got this!!
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:05 PM
Nov 2016

Send Little Marco back to that rock from under which he crawled. Meanwhile we'll be doing the same to Heck Schmeck here in NV by sending CCM to the Senate to keep Harry's seat blue. Please Please Please!!

kwolf68

(7,383 posts)
24. Oh yea!!!
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:17 PM
Nov 2016

If the Republican hate machine takes a bunch of these guys down then our nation just may survive.

PoorMonger

(844 posts)
29. If Rubio Loses.
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:28 PM
Nov 2016

Then I fully expect him to set a new record in the earliest 2020 presidential run announcement. As the Republicans are still not self aware of what they have done to themselves given the changing electoral picture I guess they will again ignore any meaningful policy change and recommit to 'appear' to be welcoming to Latinos by nominating Rubio.

kevink077

(370 posts)
30. if we win this-- HUGE
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:39 PM
Nov 2016

Although I am preparing for a narrow loss on this one. I suspect the Hispanic surge may actually save Rubio here. Plus I don't trust this pollster. Dems win NH, NV, IL, WI, and narrow PA....Upset surprise just may come out of Missouri....

 

Grey Lemercier

(1,429 posts)
42. So let me get this straight, you thoroughly accept all the meta poll aggregators when they say
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:45 PM
Nov 2016

Clinton will win (as do I), but THEN, when confronted with an even higher probability of confidence, FROM THE EXACT SAME people, you dismiss it, simple because it goes against your and my wishes?

That is illogical and projection and not based in reality, and I am a Democratic party member because I am reality and science based.

misterhighwasted

(9,148 posts)
54. At this point in the game I'll forego it all for a positive "C'mon Florida"!!
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:16 PM
Nov 2016

I've watched the polls for so long now.
Give me one positive one against Rubio and I can take it from there.

Murphy would be a gift. I'll be cheering him on till the end.

RAFisher

(466 posts)
71. Several polls have this race within 1%. And you're completely ignoring early voting numbers.
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 09:05 PM
Nov 2016

Poll aggregators don't look at early voting numbers. Why is it illogical to hope, based on early voting, that Murphy has a shot?

 

Grey Lemercier

(1,429 posts)
47. So, as you are taking Survey Monkey as gospel, then you must expect these outcomes
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:59 PM
Nov 2016

Wisconsin



Colorado




Nevada



misterhighwasted

(9,148 posts)
57. Geezus. SM is hardly gospel. Much like most of the pollsters.
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:19 PM
Nov 2016

Stop raining on my hopeful little parade with detailed stats.
I don't care about them.

C'MON FLORIDA!!

MBS

(9,688 posts)
51. EXACTLY.
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:04 PM
Nov 2016

Rubio is the very definition of lack of responsibility, standing for nothing and working for nothing other than his career. Please, floridians, send this empty suit back to the hole where he belongs.

Equinox Moon

(6,344 posts)
43. Bye-bye rubio
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:45 PM
Nov 2016

That means he won't be running for Pres. again either.

I remember the media report of Latino's booooing him. Big message!

bucolic_frolic

(44,141 posts)
44. I'll believe it when I see it
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:53 PM
Nov 2016

Our Dem stars have been hitting FL hard for this reason, wondered
why we trailed for so long

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
59. Same
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:23 PM
Nov 2016

There are Rubio signs all over the place in Miami. The nearby homes that always have rightwing signs in the front yard this year are absent of Trump material but doubled up on Rubio.

I'll be astonished if this actually happens. I think Hillary needed to win Florida by 6-8 points to drag Murphy along.

edhopper

(34,024 posts)
58. I think Survey Monkey is online polling
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:22 PM
Nov 2016

not reliable.

Unfortunately, Rubio still has a 4 - 5 point lead.

Sorry.

jg10003

(978 posts)
65. Schumer and DSCC dropped the ball when they bailed on Murphy
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:45 PM
Nov 2016

Huff Post: Murphy - 43%, Rubio - 48%.

The DSCC canceled $16,000,000 in advertising for Murphy.
Murphy has little name recognition, has a 4 to 1 disadvantage in TV ads, and is running against a nationally known incumbent in a very large state. If he can get within 5 points with all that against him, Imagine how he would do with $16,000,000 to spend on his campaign.

CRH

(1,553 posts)
66. C'mon give Marco his due, ...
Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:47 PM
Nov 2016

after all, he gave us ' Trump has small hands, and therefore …'.

Course he didn't work a lick, legislate or much else, for two years while on the government dole. Just lost to Trump, small hands down.

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