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[Name removed]

[The Velveteen Ocelot]

1. Relax and look here:

http://election.princeton.edu/

[Maeve]

10. Or here

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

[Avalux]

2. I have no thoughts on that because it's not true. n/t

[Ruth Bonner]

3. 538 is a great source to see whether the polls that matter are changing. EOM

[budkin]

4. In certain polls he has

But you have to focus on the averages

[semby2]

5. Maybe

Keep in mind that a few weeks ago was the bombshell Trump groping tape. The effect of that is wearing off, IMHO. In the last week the 538 average went from Hillary at 86% to 80.6% now. But it's more about Republican voters returning to their candidate rather than him "gaining". IMHO, we've gone from a devastating blowout to a comfortable win.

We'll have to see what the effect is on the down ballot races....

[wisteria]

6. Nah, that is what they want you to believe.

More Americans know what a liar and a con Trump is. He will not be elected President. Some polls are better than others.

[0rganism]

7. what do you bet the Clinton campaign has more ammo?

agree with the poster who pointed out that a couple weeks ago the orange molester got nailed with the rap for a few of his many misdeeds, and that had its impact, which is now wearing off.

however, the election is far from over

i'd be surprised if there wasn't something else, something nice and stinky, that the Clinton campaign is holding for the perfect moment to throw it in tRump's bloviating face.

[book_worm]

8. Ispos/Reuters Poll: HRC has a 15-point lead among early voters

With 11 days to go before the U.S. presidential election, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by 15 percentage points among early voters surveyed in the past two weeks, according to the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project.

Though data is not available for all early voting states, Clinton enjoys an edge in swing states such as Ohio and Arizona and in Republican Party strongholds such as Georgia and Texas.

An estimated 19 million Americans have voted so far in the election, according to the University of Florida’s United States Election Project, accounting for as much as 20 percent of the electorate.

Overall, Clinton remained on track to win a majority of votes in the Electoral College, the Reuters/Ipsos survey showed.

Having so many ballots locked down before the Nov. 8 election is good news for the Clinton campaign. On Friday, the Federal Bureau of Investigation announced that it is examining newly discovered emails belonging to Clinton’s close aide, Huma Abedin. Those emails were found on a computer belonging to Anthony Weiner, Abedin’s estranged husband, during an unrelated investigation into illicit messages he is alleged to have sent to a teenage girl. The Reuters/Ipsos survey was conducted before the news emerged Friday afternoon.

[Ken226]

9. No, Trump isn't gaining.

It's just the media trying to turn this into a horserace during the last 10 yards. They want the ratings.

How could Cheeto boy possibly be gaining one a true states person like Hillary. He's a serial groper, a buffoon and the weirdest shade of neon orange ever seen.

[cheezmaka]

11. It may be a slight gain in Ohio because of the latest news....

However, Trump could win FL, NC, UT, AZ, ME, and NH in "addition" to Ohio and STILL LOSE the election. Lots of voters have already voted so you can "relax". Just get others out to vote...

[sofa king]

12. Bwahaha!

Is he gonna gain fifteen points? Is he gonna suddenly become acceptable to immigrants, Hispanics, college-educated people, Jewish people, and women? Is he gonna win every single battleground state, without accidentally losing Texas, Georgia or Utah? Is he gonna capitalize on his opportunity by donating money of his own to his campaign? Are Republican donors, who have cut him off, going to change their minds at the eleventh hour?

Is Trump really going to give up the television production team he's trained up on the public dime, do actual work, and risk money of his own to go make half a million a year in a job he knows he can't do?

Can Donald Trump go one news cycle without being an asshole?

If the answer to a single one of those questions is, "no," he loses. End of story.

[sarcasmo]

13. I'M sure those coffee shop guys were Faux News viewers.

Trump is always in the lead on Faux News.

[Dem2]

14. Oh, FFS

trash thread - c'mon!