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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWisconsin poll: Clinton surged after Trump tape (19-point margin!)
Wisconsin poll: Clinton surged after Trump tapeBy STEVEN SHEPARD 10/12/16 02:47 PM EDT
Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump in Wisconsin, according to a new poll out Wednesday that tracked the fallout of the leaked Trump tape in which the GOP presidential nominee crudely bragged about groping and trying to sleep with married women.
The Marquette Law School poll shows Clinton with a four-point lead over Trump in a head-to-head matchup, 46 percent to 42 percent. Her margin increases in a subsequent question, when respondents are also offered the options of Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein: In the four-way ballot test, Clinton leads Trump, 44 percent to 37 percent, with Johnson at 9 percent and Stein at 3 percent.
The poll was conducted last Thursday-Sunday, and it was already in the field when the tape surfaced on Friday. But the poll shows the tape may have had a significant impact on Trumps support.
And on Saturday and Sunday, Clinton was leading Trump by a yawning, 19-point margin, 49 percent to 30 percent. (The poll was conducted entirely before Sunday nights debate.)
http://www.politico.com/blogs/swing-states-2016-election/2016/10/poll-wisconsin-clinton-trump-videotape-229684
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Wisconsin poll: Clinton surged after Trump tape (19-point margin!) (Original Post)
workinclasszero
Oct 2016
OP
NPR reported yesterday that even though Trump is hampered on ad spending because of donor...
Tarheel_Dem
Oct 2016
#5
still_one
(92,493 posts)1. I hope this follows through withe Russ Feingold
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)2. Me too
That race is too close for comfort unfortunately.
RAFisher
(466 posts)3. The same poll had Feingold up by only 2%
Seriously what is going on there? For months this looked like a slam dunk now it's close, even as Clinton dominates.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,254 posts)5. NPR reported yesterday that even though Trump is hampered on ad spending because of donor...
reluctance, but the same is not true for Congressional & Senate races. Normally, the money that big GOP donors & PAC's would be spending at the top of the ticket, has been redirected (heavily) to down ticket races. This is why we've seen Democratic advantages begin to ebb.
PoindexterOglethorpe
(25,926 posts)4. What's interesting is that
Trump is by far the bigger loser in the four way race. That tells me a significant number of erstwhile Trump supporters are more of the Never Hillary contingent, and so they'll vote for someone else given the chance.
riversedge
(70,438 posts)6. Trump lost net 20 points in 4 days in Wisconsin Poll -from1st to last day-after Tapes released..
Tweet
Scott ?@matsonscotty 6h6 hours ago
Scott Retweeted MULawPoll
Wow. Trump lost net 20 points in 4 days in Wisconsin #MULawPoll
Scott added,
MULawPoll @MULawPoll
Among likely voters in WI:
Thursday: Trump 41%, Clinton 40%
Friday: Clinton 44%, Trump 38%
Saturday and Sunday: Clinton 49%, Trump 30%
https://twitter.com/matsonscotty/status/786261113981640705