2016 Postmortem

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts) Thu Aug 4, 2016, 09:00 AM Aug 2016

538's "Now Cast" on 8/4/16 shows Hillary at 88.6% and Trump at 11.3%. (Also, scroll down...

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now

Also, scroll down and look at the proportional map of the US (each state re-sized based on the number Electoral College votes). That's a very reassuring image too!

I've always HATED the fact that the reddest of red-states have so many square miles, which make a standard map of the US appear to be totally awash with Trump voters.

The visual effect of all those empty (less populated) acres can be a depressing sight, if you're a visually-oriented person like I am. Fortunately, the numbers and actual data (when presented visually) help to get me focused and centered again.

#StrongerTogether

Go, Hillary! Beat Trump!

6 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

538's "Now Cast" on 8/4/16 shows Hillary at 88.6% and Trump at 11.3%. (Also, scroll down... (Original Post) NurseJackie Aug 2016 OP

Ninety-seven days to go. PeteSelman Aug 2016 #1

in a month it will be 95% chance for hillary.....and the odds of retaking congress will be beachbum bob Aug 2016 #2

Yes ismnotwasm Aug 2016 #4

The estimated odds of Trump winning... Jerry442 Aug 2016 #3

That's a disturbing (and motivating) way to look at it. NurseJackie Aug 2016 #5

This message was self-deleted by its author rjsquirrel Aug 2016 #6

PeteSelman

(1,508 posts)

1. Ninety-seven days to go.

Reply to NurseJackie (Original post)

Thu Aug 4, 2016, 09:04 AM

Aug 2016

We need to act like those numbers are reversed. We can't sleep on this.

I wish we could vote today.

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)

2. in a month it will be 95% chance for hillary.....and the odds of retaking congress will be

Reply to NurseJackie (Original post)

Thu Aug 4, 2016, 09:08 AM

Aug 2016

way up too.....that is AS IMPORTANT

ismnotwasm

(42,037 posts)

4. Yes

Reply to beachbum bob (Reply #2)

Thu Aug 4, 2016, 09:10 AM

Aug 2016

The down ticket wins help get victories in congress

Jerry442

(1,265 posts)

3. The estimated odds of Trump winning...

Reply to NurseJackie (Original post)

Thu Aug 4, 2016, 09:10 AM

Aug 2016

...are only a little lower than those of losing one turn of Russian Roulette with a six-shooter with one live round in it.

Still way out of my comfort zone. I'd prefer zero. Zero would work for me.

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)

5. That's a disturbing (and motivating) way to look at it.

Reply to Jerry442 (Reply #3)

Thu Aug 4, 2016, 09:13 AM

Aug 2016

Response to Jerry442 (Reply #3)

rjsquirrel This message was self-deleted by its author.

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