2016 Postmortem

piechartking

(617 posts) Thu Aug 4, 2016, 07:04 AM Aug 2016

Bye Bye New Hampshire New WBUR Poll Clinton 47, Trump 32

http://www.wbur.org/politicker/2016/08/04/clinton-over-trump-new-hampshire-poll

Oh, and just for good measure, Kelly Ayotte down 10% in the Senate Race.

7 replies

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Highlight:

Bye Bye New Hampshire ***New WBUR Poll Clinton 47, Trump 32*** (Original Post) piechartking Aug 2016 OP

Ouch Thrill Aug 2016 #1

Maggie Hassan couldn't have picked a better year to run. Vinca Aug 2016 #2

I'm really excited about this race! PatSeg Aug 2016 #6

link: geek tragedy Aug 2016 #3

New Hampshire tends to give Democrats +2 CobaltBlue Aug 2016 #4

D+13 makes me giddy. piechartking Aug 2016 #5

Bye, bye, Kelly! mikeargo Aug 2016 #7

Thrill

(19,178 posts)

1. Ouch

Reply to piechartking (Original post)

Thu Aug 4, 2016, 07:06 AM

Aug 2016

Vinca

(50,346 posts)

2. Maggie Hassan couldn't have picked a better year to run.

Reply to piechartking (Original post)

Thu Aug 4, 2016, 07:07 AM

Aug 2016

She's been a very popular governor and would have had the edge on Ayotte without the Trump craziness. We have to get the Senate back!

PatSeg

(47,822 posts)

6. I'm really excited about this race!

Reply to Vinca (Reply #2)

Sat Aug 6, 2016, 03:29 PM

Aug 2016

It would be great to have two Democratic female senators representing our state. I admire them both.

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)

3. link:

Reply to piechartking (Original post)

Thu Aug 4, 2016, 07:08 AM

Aug 2016

http://www.wbur.org/politicker/2016/08/04/clinton-over-trump-new-hampshire-poll

CobaltBlue

(1,122 posts)

4. New Hampshire tends to give Democrats +2

Reply to piechartking (Original post)

Sat Aug 6, 2016, 02:55 PM

Aug 2016

The Democratic Party, when winning, will carry New Hampshire. The tilt is about +2. Barack Obama, in 2008, won nationally by +7.26 and carried New Hampshire by +9.61, a spread of 2.35 percentage points. With re-election in 2012, Obama won the U.S. Popular Vote by +3.86 and carried New Hampshire by +5.58, a spread of 1.72 percentage points.

If this +15, for New Hampshire, were to be the result of Election 2016, it suggests that Democrat Hillary Clinton would win election, over Republican Donald Trump, in part by carrying the U.S. Popular Vote with a margin of D+13.

piechartking

(617 posts)

5. D+13 makes me giddy.

Reply to CobaltBlue (Reply #4)

Sat Aug 6, 2016, 03:27 PM

Aug 2016

I just hope Julian Assange forgets to pay his internet bill in October.

mikeargo

(675 posts)

7. Bye, bye, Kelly!

Reply to piechartking (Original post)

Sun Aug 7, 2016, 07:43 AM

Aug 2016

And take Guinta (R-Crook) with you.

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