2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNate Silver gets a big boost from the election
NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Across the media and twittersphere Tuesday night, Nate Silver was a clear winner in the 2012 presidential election. The polling data guru, who runs the fivethirtyeight.com blog for the New York Times, saw sales of his book spike as a result.
Sales of the book, "The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - but Some Don't" shot up 800% on Amazon.com (AMZN, Fortune 500) over the last 24 hours. It is now the second best selling book on the site, behind only popular children's book, "The Third Wheel, Diary of a Wimpy Kid Book 7."
On his blog fivethirtyeight.com, Silver compiles and analyzes polling results from all different sources to estimate how many of the 538 electoral votes each presidential candidates will win.
His work allowed him to essentially call all 50 states correctly in last night's vote. He correctly predicted the 49 states called by the networks Tuesday, and estimated that Florida would be essentially tied with Obama having a very slight edge. Four years ago he correctly predicted 49 of 50 states, missing only Obama's narrow win in Indiana.
http://money.cnn.com/2012/11/07/news/companies/nate-silver-election/
Proud liberal 80
(4,167 posts)budkin
(6,724 posts)Dean Chambers has gone to live with the crickets.
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)The website is down today, for some reason, but I am sure it will be up any time now
ToxMarz
(2,169 posts)Fgiriun
(169 posts)who predicted the victory at 99-100% also it is fair to mention the Signal at Yahoo:
http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/signal/signal-forecast-goes-50-50-florida-outstanding-062332033.html
They predicted the states (except Florida) back in February.