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Wed Jun 22, 2016, 09:22 AM

 

Ouch. Ouch. Ouch. From a Republican Analyst.



Donald Trumpís political suicide mission



By Mike Murphy

Washington Post


Mike Murphy is a Republican consultant who hosts the new podcast ďRadio Free GOP.Ē


Hereís a pitch for a new reality TV show. Political neophytes run for office; then, when the harsh reality of running a serious national campaign thoroughly punctures their cocky naivetť, they are fired. Donald Trump is already starring in the pilot.

Forget, for a moment, all of Trumpís epic character flaws. A new question has seized the campaign: Can the self-proclaimed world-class business wizard actually manage anything? His campaignís spiral into collapse proves he cannot. Let us count the ways:

Basic targeting. Presidential campaigns come down to a handful of swing states and a relatively small group of persuadable swing voters who ultimately decide the election. Thatís why campaigns invest so much money in paid advertising and on-the-ground organizing in those key states. Trump has done neither. Instead he is careening around the country in his beloved jet, chasing elusive high-dollar donor support in Republican base states. Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton is gleefully beating his brains out in swing states with harsh but effective negative advertising ó none of which is being answered and rebutted by the Trump campaign as his polling numbers tank.

Fundraising. Even if Trump wanted to rebut those Clinton attack ads, he lacks the money to fire back. Recent Federal Election Commission numbers show the Trump campaign with a ludicrously low $1.3 million cash on hand. The money maven is totally broke, which means his voter contact effort has gone silent. If Trump did put up millions in advertising to push back on Clinton, his campaign would have to join several earlier Trump enterprises in declaring bankruptcy. Meanwhile, what relatively little money the braggadocious billionaire has invested in his campaign has mostly been structured as a loan from, you guessed it, Trump. So despite his endless promises during the primary, Trump is showing no actual interest in self-funding his effort. Instead heís hoping donors pay him back for the cost of bouncing around in his garish airplane. Itís no surprise that so few donors are falling for this suckersí ploy.

Message. Trumpís pitchfork rhetoric played well in the GOP primary; winning him about 44 percent of the voters. But the voters he needs most now ó college-educated white women and Hispanics ó are giving Trump record unfavorable ratings in recent polls. Itís almost as though he is trying to offend them. Well, itís working.

Ground war. Person-to-person campaigning is effective, but it doesnít happen without a well-run ground organization heavily linked to the metrics provided by modern digital marketing technology. Trump is doing none of this. He seems to think holding rallies with voters who already support him is the campaign activity that counts. Thatís not strategy; itís egomania.


<snip>

read:https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/donald-trumps-political-suicide-mission/2016/06/22/40b55a28-3876-11e6-9ccd-d6005beac8b3_story.html

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Arrow 9 replies Author Time Post
Reply Ouch. Ouch. Ouch. From a Republican Analyst. (Original post)
cali Jun 2016 OP
DCBob Jun 2016 #1
cali Jun 2016 #2
Silver_Witch Jun 2016 #3
cyberswede Jun 2016 #4
cali Jun 2016 #5
Wednesdays Jun 2016 #7
okasha Jun 2016 #8
Logical Jun 2016 #6
Stuart G Jun 2016 #9

Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Jun 22, 2016, 09:25 AM

1. Murphy, even though a Republican, is a smart analyst and tells it like it is.

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Response to DCBob (Reply #1)

Wed Jun 22, 2016, 09:28 AM

2. never heard of him before, but it's a smart, well written article

 

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Jun 22, 2016, 09:33 AM

3. I have always thought Trump will just up a quit!

 

His ego enjoyed the attention but he does not strike me as in it for the long haul!!! Hope I am right would love to msee him just bail right after the convention.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Jun 22, 2016, 10:17 AM

4. That was yummy.

I only hope Trump hobbles around till November. I don't really want some other Republican to step in and seem reasonable.

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Response to cyberswede (Reply #4)

Wed Jun 22, 2016, 10:22 AM

5. If he keeps failing and falling and flailing- I don't see him making it to Nov

 

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Response to cali (Reply #5)

Wed Jun 22, 2016, 02:59 PM

7. Which is not terribly good news for us.

nt

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Response to Wednesdays (Reply #7)

Wed Jun 22, 2016, 03:10 PM

8. Whether he quits or is ousted, the Republican Party self-destructs.

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Jun 22, 2016, 10:23 AM

6. That is great!

 

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Response to cali (Original post)

Wed Jun 22, 2016, 03:29 PM

9. Outstanding Post...Thanks for Posting...nt

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