Just A Quick Thought On Pennsylvania And RMoney's Hail Mary There...

[SingleSeatBiggerMeat]

I did some quick searching on the internet (Thanks Wikipedia) and it appears that McCain did worse in the final tally than the polls indicated when he decided to jump in. He was down approximately 7.5% in the final 10 polls taken but finished 10.3% in the actual vote.

I am not a pollster or a campaign expert - but my guess is that Democrats who were going to sit out got energized and voted once they realized the state was "in play."

As Romeny is a far more despicable candidate than McCain was - I bet the dyanmic will be even more pronounced.

[oh08dem]

1. For more evidence...

In 2010 Toomey had a plus 4.5 RCP average in the polls, and only ended up winning by 2.0 against Sestak.

That was in a big year for the GOP, don't think they're winning PA.

[smorkingapple]

2. PA polls almost always underestimate the urban market turnouts

Which is what causes this time and time again. The cities are what runs PA electoral votes just like NYC runs NY state. Remove the cities and those states just might turn red.

[amuse bouche]

3. I'm confused.

I thought Pennsylvania didn't have early voting