NBC/Marist Poll: Obama 50-44 in Iowa, 49-46 in Wisconsin, 49-47 in NH

[ashtonelijah]

More information: http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/31/14842207-nbcwsjmarist-polls-obama-leads-in-iowa-running-neck-and-neck-in-nh-wis?lite

[woolldog]

1. Geez

WI is awfully close.

[geek tragedy]

4. Not really. This is yet another poll showing him with the lead there.

Romney is behind in every single WI poll. We got this.

[woolldog]

15. Marquette Law was the most accurate poll in the Walker recall election

They released a poll today that had Obama ahead by 8.

Still annoyed at reading this NBC poll though.

[geek tragedy]

18. Last two NBC polls average out to roughly the

same as last twoMarquette polls, but NBC polls were less volatile.

[TroyD]

25. Marquette tends to show wild swings sometimes, though

Their previous poll showed Obama only around (+1) in Wisconsin and showed Thompson (+1).

Then yesterday their poll showed Obama back to (+8) and Baldwin back to (+4).

Those are pretty dramatic swings from one poll to another.

Still, the trendline for Obama and Baldwin is good, regardless of some of the bouncing around.

[dennis4868]

2. Iowa looks real good!

But NH and Wisconsin are too close for comfort. Think there is another poll where Obama has a more comfortable lead in WI (think it was PPP?)

[BlueDemKev]

10. It's the Marquette Poll...

...still, I'm not pleased about a mere 3-point lead in ANY poll (which is probably within the margin of error). Wisconsin, in addition to Ohio, is a MUST-WIN state for us.

[rightsideout]

14. I agree

The margin of error is 3 points. I feel more comfortable with a 5 point lead especially with questionable vote stealing tactics. I'm surprised it's so close. Obama should be at least over 5 everywhere. Obama stopped the economic freefall, saved Detroit, positive job growth.

But at least the lead is in our favor. It equates to several thousand votes.

[BlueDemKev]

16. I must confess...

...I'm down on my FACE praying that the voters do the right thing! As a person with a pre-existing condition and whose employer doesn't offer group health insurance, I CANNOT afford to have the Patient Protection & Affordable Care Act repealed.

OBAMA-BIDEN 2012

[dennis4868]

20. My daughter has a pre-existing condition...

I do not know what I will do if ObamaCare is repealed. That is why I worry all the time about the pollls. I get attacked a lot here by DUer for always worrying about the polls but this election is very personal to me. It could mean life or death for my beautiful daughter.

[BlueDemKev]

22. Those of us who support Obamacare must make a pact...

...that we will do everything possible to protect the law in the event Republicans capture both the White House and the Senate. But let's hope this outrageous battle over health care reform will be put to bed once and for all next Tuesday.

I just donated some more $$ to the Obama Campaign to help with their GOTV efforts. You may want to consider doing the same. This is an investment in our lives and our children's lives.

Donate Here. Every little bit helps!

www.barackobama.com.

[Third Doctor]

3. NH is too.

[VirginiaTarheel]

5. Yes, WI and IA are closeish in this poll, but you have to take aggregate of polls

and not just flip out over one poll. The point is, Obama is ahead in every swing state except tied in NC.

[JiminyJominy]

6. With All the Ohio

Shenanigans we need to make sure we win in every other state in case Ohio is stolen from us.

Bring home NH, VA, WI, Iowa, and NV.

[writes3000]

7. "Worry, worry, worry"! Oh. This isn't the worry-wart thread?

My bad. That's what it looked like.

Glad to see more polls confirming President Obama is in the lead.

[dennis4868]

9. Not worried...

just that NH and WI are within the MOE. Just don't understand how people can be so stupid and vote for Romney who stands for nothing, is a liar and flip flopper, and wants to take us back to Bush policies!

[Floyd_Gondolli]

12. Another WI poll released yesterday had Obama +8

[dennis4868]

13. These polls

are making my head spin...Obama +3 Obama +8 in the same state conducted around the same time....can't wait till this over!

[VirginiaTarheel]

8. Amen. Some of you have the most nervous and worrying personality ever

[Zynx]

11. That's plenty fine news there. The polls, by varying margins, always show O up in IA and WI.

[geek tragedy]

19. To put it another way, Romney can't like those #s . nt

[Drunken Irishman]

17. I'm okay just as long as Obama's ahead ... and he's ahead in Wisconsin and NH.

[fujiyama]

21. A little irritated by the WI and NH numbers

Mainly, I dislike that WI has tightened in this poll over the last several weeks, and that was a post first-debate poll too. The same goes with NH.

But this is just one pollster. We've had three or four WI polls in the last day or two. All show Obama somewhere leading in WI between 3-8 points. The same goes with NH and IA. The key point is, Obama is most probable to take them all.

And of course, OH and NV as well. The VA numbers look good too.

I hate to be this optimistic, but I'm thinking his floor may be 281 now (and that's not even counting VA). With VA, it's 294. CO is alright too except for a poll earlier showing Obama down by one.

Here's to 300+!

[TroyD]

23. NBC/WSJ/Marist shows Baldwin with a small lead in WISCONSIN as well

Not as good for Baldwin as yesterday's Marquette poll, but at least it's a lead. The odds are still in her favor according to Nate Silver.

-----

WISCONSIN - SENATE (Baldwin +1)

NBC/WSJ/Marist

Baldwin (D) - 48

Thompson (R) - 47

[TroyD]

24. NBC/WSJ/Marist also shows Hassan ahead in NH for GOVERNOR:

NEW HAMPSHIRE - GOVERNOR (Hassan +5)

NBC/WSJ/Marist

Hassan (D) - 49

Lamontagne (R) - 44

[kwolf68]

26. New Hampshire is encouraging

About 10 days ago polls had rmoney in the lead. Now Obama is back in front. I think BO will get NH, get Wisky, Iowa, NV, OH, PA and hold serve elsewhere and call it a day.

Yea, would LOVE to get NC, VA, FLA, CO, etc...and I think we can grab 1 or 2 of those, but the main focus is keeping the right guy at 1600.