Americans’ Distaste For Both Trump And Clinton Is Record-Breaking
The Democratic primary will technically march on, but Hillary Clinton is almost certainly going to be her partys nominee. Same with Donald Trump. And voters dont appear thrilled at the prospect: Clinton and Trump are both more strongly disliked than any nominee at this point in the past 10 presidential cycles.
Normally, when we talk about candidate likability, we use favorability ratings, which combine strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable and strongly unfavorable. But that didnt work so well in the Republican primary, where Trump was able to win despite a relatively low net favorability rating because his strongly favorable rating with Republican primary voters was among the highest in the field. So lets look at Trump and Clintons strongly1 favorable and strongly unfavorable ratings among general election voters.2
These are people who dont just like or dislike the candidates, they really like or dislike them.
No past candidate comes close to Clinton, and especially Trump, in terms of engendering strong dislike a little more than six months before the election.
The lines are so straight, with none of the smaller ups and downs one usually sees, because they present only one pair of numbers for every four years -- specifically, the ratings of the two eventual major-party nominees in the spring of the election year. After March/April 2004, Bush is dropped from the chart.
as the parties logo/mascot?
It's going to be atrocious and terrifying.
Is that recently those with the highest strongly unfavorables have won, which bodes well for Trump. Luckily this is not the only criterion. Plus once you go over 50, that makes winning somewhat unlikely.
What these data definitely show is that high unfavorablesare no bar to victory. Funny that.