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insta8er

(960 posts)
Thu May 5, 2016, 11:19 AM May 2016

Americans’ Distaste For Both Trump And Clinton Is Record-Breaking

The Democratic primary will technically march on, but Hillary Clinton is almost certainly going to be her party’s nominee. Same with Donald Trump. And voters don’t appear thrilled at the prospect: Clinton and Trump are both more strongly disliked than any nominee at this point in the past 10 presidential cycles.

Normally, when we talk about candidate likability, we use favorability ratings, which combine “strongly favorable,” “somewhat favorable,” “somewhat unfavorable” and “strongly unfavorable.” But that didn’t work so well in the Republican primary, where Trump was able to win despite a relatively low net favorability rating because his “strongly favorable” rating with Republican primary voters was among the highest in the field. So let’s look at Trump and Clinton’s “strongly1 favorable” and “strongly unfavorable” ratings among general election voters.2

These are people who don’t just like or dislike the candidates, they really like or dislike them.

No past candidate comes close to Clinton, and especially Trump, in terms of engendering strong dislike a little more than six months before the election.
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http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/americans-distaste-for-both-trump-and-clinton-is-record-breaking/

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Americans’ Distaste For Both Trump And Clinton Is Record-Breaking (Original Post) insta8er May 2016 OP
This message was self-deleted by its author thesquanderer May 2016 #1
The graph doesn't include ratings from near the end of his presidency. Jim Lane May 2016 #8
Thanks for pointing out my error. I'll delete my post. (n/t) thesquanderer May 2016 #9
My vote will be cast for the Democratic Nominee. In_The_Wind May 2016 #2
Me too,mbut be drepressed as hell doing it. Nt Logical May 2016 #4
... In_The_Wind May 2016 #7
Because the babyboomers think that this time it will be different, is that why we have a donkey insta8er May 2016 #3
This prospective general election makes me sick to my stomach. morningfog May 2016 #5
Not to be glib but the only worry I see here whatthehey May 2016 #6

Response to insta8er (Original post)

 

Jim Lane

(11,175 posts)
8. The graph doesn't include ratings from near the end of his presidency.
Thu May 5, 2016, 08:39 PM
May 2016

The lines are so straight, with none of the smaller ups and downs one usually sees, because they present only one pair of numbers for every four years -- specifically, the ratings of the two eventual major-party nominees in the spring of the election year. After March/April 2004, Bush is dropped from the chart.

 

insta8er

(960 posts)
3. Because the babyboomers think that this time it will be different, is that why we have a donkey
Thu May 5, 2016, 11:25 AM
May 2016

as the parties logo/mascot?

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
5. This prospective general election makes me sick to my stomach.
Thu May 5, 2016, 11:31 AM
May 2016

It's going to be atrocious and terrifying.

whatthehey

(3,660 posts)
6. Not to be glib but the only worry I see here
Thu May 5, 2016, 11:37 AM
May 2016

Is that recently those with the highest strongly unfavorables have won, which bodes well for Trump. Luckily this is not the only criterion. Plus once you go over 50, that makes winning somewhat unlikely.

What these data definitely show is that high unfavorablesare no bar to victory. Funny that.

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