Election Forecast Summaries: 10/29 (afternoon)
From now until the election I'll post once or twice a day with these summaries. "p(RE)" means "probability of re-election," and is expressed in a scale from 0 to 1, so 0.937, for instance, means 93.7%. "unch" means unchanged from last report. Date of last update is given if at least one day old and if time of update is known.
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Votamatic: O 332 (unch from 10/27)
University of Illinois U-C: O 291.4 (+0.4); p(RE)=0.949 (-.004)
Electoral-vote.com: O 280, R 235, T 23 (O-4, T+4)
Huffington Post: O 277, R 191, T 70 (R-15, T+15)
FiveThirtyEight: O 296.6 (+1.1); p(RE)=0.746 (unch)
Princeton: O 303 (+3); p(RE)=0.90-0.97 (unch)
DeSart/Holbrook: O 281 (unch); p(RE)=0.8682 (+.0029)[/font]
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...And Just For Laughs, UnSkewedPolls: O 179, R 359 (unch from 10/25) [/font] which means my bet with Dean Chambers is presently worth $2,352.00.
= new reply since forum marked as read
Please let me know. 
Electoral-vote.com: O 280, R 235, T 23 (O-4, T+4)
Tie? Im clueless apparently
