Trump Now Leads Clinton 41 to 39 per cent in latest Rasmussen Poll!

[imagine2015]

Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 2 points in a head-to-head matchup, according to a new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey.

Trump gets 41 percent to Clinton's 39 percent in the new poll.


Monday, May 02, 2016

Last week, Rasmussen Reports gave voters the option of staying home on Election Day if Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the big party nominees, and six percent (6%) said that’s what they intend to do for now. Clinton and Trump were tied with 38% support each; 16% said they would vote for some other candidate, and two percent (2%) were undecided.

But Trump edges slightly ahead if the stay-at-home option is removed. Trump also now does twice as well among Democrats as Clinton does among Republicans.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 41% support to Clinton’s 39%. Fifteen percent (15%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This is the first time Trump has led the matchup since last October. Clinton held a 41% to 36% advantage in early March.

Trump now has the support of 73% of Republicans, while 77% of Democrats back Clinton. But Trump picks up 15% of Democrats, while just eight percent (8%) of GOP voters prefer Clinton, given this matchup. Republicans are twice as likely to prefer another candidate.

Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Trump leads 37% to 31%, but 23% like another candidate. Nine percent (9%) are undecided.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/trump_41_clinton_39

[Sky Masterson]

1. Or we could go with Bernie and win.

[Tarc]

9. We can go with Bernie if he wins more pledged delegates, sure

[silvershadow]

12. We could.

[firebrand80]

2. and he'll likely lead in every Rasmussen survey

from now until November

[timlot]

5. Exactly, some folks don't know the history of Rasmussen..

Unskewed poll like grossness. Fox news start using them in 2012 because they like what they saw. Blind leading the blind.

[silvershadow]

16. ^This. Edited: By the time we get to convention, it will be no contest. They don't cast their

votes until then, and by then...well. It certainly will be interesting to watch what may unfold. Because really we are all just guessing. But his is mine.

[TheCowsCameHome]

3. Well, that's life.

Meh.

[imagine2015]

4. And Trump hasn't really begun a serious propaganda campaign against Hillary. She's toast unless ...

Bernie is nominated. Bernie will crush Trump in the General Election and Democrats will ride on Bernie's coattails to end Republican control of Congress.

[Godhumor]

6. And Rasmussen had Romney winning the presidency

Not exactly a great history for the pollster.

[NorthCarolina]

7. Hillary * Will * Not * Beat * Trump.

How many polls does one need to see before a light goes off in their head and they say to themselves...oh, it really does seem likely?

This party is beyond hopeless.

[Beaverhausen]

10. Show us one other poll that shows him beating her

just one. I'll wait.

[emulatorloo]

14. Rasmussen 2012 said Romney was going to beat Obama

They ran with that right up to Election Day.

They don't have a very good track record.

[Agnosticsherbet]

8. Rasmussen has a known statistical bias towards Republicans.

going back, at least, to 2008. Any of their polls should be taken with 50 lb bag of salt.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/

[jamese777]

11. There are always Outlier Polls

Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll. April 22-28, 2016. N=814 registered voters nationwide.
"If the 2016 election for the president of United States were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"
Hillary Clinton (D): 47%
Donald Trump (R): 40%
Other: 7%
Unsure: 3%
Refused: 1%

Suffolk University/USA Today. April 20-24, 2016. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
"I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against the top polled Republicans and for each, please tell me if you would vote for Clinton or the Republican I name. Let's start with Democrat Hillary Clinton versus Republican [see below]."
Hillary Clinton (D): 50%
Donald Trump (R): 39%
Unsure: 8%
Refused: 2%
http://www.pollingreport.com/wh16gen.htm

realclearpolitics.com average of the seven most recent national polls:
Clinton: 47.1%
Trump: 40.4%
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

[book_worm]

13. You guys will use Ras polls now even when more respected polls show him losing to HRC

and you don't acknowledge that, so this, to me is meaningless.

[procon]

15. Are Rasmussen's polls any less pro-Republican biased now days?

Looking at this month's polling data from multiple surveys, Rasmussen's entry is the only one that has Trump over Hillary. In fact all the other pollsters have Hillary up by a spread of several points.


http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-general-election-trump-vs-clinton

[onenote]

17. I can't imagine a lot of superdelegates will be swayed by a Rasmussen poll

They're not babes in the wood. And they probably have some first hand experience having Rasmussen incorrectly predict their own elections.

[TheBlackAdder]

18. Assmussen polls are not credible. nt

[rufus dog]

19. As a Bernie supporter I will weigh in

Rasmussen polls are b.s.