New PPP CO Poll: O 50- R 47. Down from 6 pt lead n/t

[Blaukraut]

[barnabas63]

1. Who is down "from 6 pt lead?"

[WI_DEM]

3. Obama in a late September poll.

[WI_DEM]

2. A three point lead is pretty good in Colorado and an indication

that Obama isn't going to give up there. I'll take it.

[Shivering Jemmy]

4. Iowa may not look so good then

Given ppp tweets last night

[WI_DEM]

5. It depends--it could still be a lead of 1 or 2 points.

[Shivering Jemmy]

8. Possible but I doubt pop would

Consider that significant enough to note. Hope I'm wrong.

[WI_DEM]

11. Of course I don't look at just one poll

Another poll yesterday had Obama up by 3 and Rasmussen had it a tie. Dems are still besting them on early voting.

[TroyD]

14. Obama has been ahead in almost all recent IOWA polling

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/ia/iowa_romney_vs_obama-1922.html

[DCBob]

10. +1

I will take it and run with it!

[Maximumnegro]

26. Also it's +5 Obama w/ Gary Johnson

included so although it may not be as high election day, Johnson will be pulling from Romney more than Obama.

[Blaukraut]

6. This seems to confirm Princeton's Sam Wang's theory

The debates really have little impact. The polls were going to tighten toward the end of the election cycle. Romney was going to firm up his support, because he was artificially low for a long time.

[Maximumnegro]

24. Yep. Obama was prepared for this. The base wasn't.

[Jennicut]

7. Great news given that CO was polling better for Romney recently.

CO could be a buffer if we can take it.

[ProSense]

12. It's good news because a lot

of the polls shortly before the first debate showed Obama with leads more than previous polls. I think they were post convention, 47-percent comment bounces converging.

PPP's Sept 2 poll had Obama up 3 points.

[WI_DEM]

13. yep, good point.

[Blaukraut]

15. Yup, it pays to look at pre and post convention polls, too

Bounces fade and everything goes back to reality. A narrow race.

[JRLeft]

9. Who cares as long as he wins.

[VirginiaTarheel]

16. PPP's Twitter Tease last night was overdramatically negative

Three points up in fickle Colorado and tied nationally is rather good at this point for Obama.

[WI_DEM]

17. they have a tendency to do that.

[Blaukraut]

19. They tweeted O was doing better in CO than IA and NH, so figure those two tied or 1pt up or down

In the end, I'd feel good about CO, cautious about IA and NH, and pretty good about WI. PPP also has Obama up 49-48 in VA, which is decent news.

[WI_DEM]

20. could be as much as 2-points up, guess we'll just have to wait and see.

[Blaukraut]

21. heh, I try to keep my expectations low so I won't end up hugely disappointed, but you're right n/t

[MSMITH33156]

18. This news pleases me

don't know why anyone would be upset by this.

[thatsrightimirish]

22. Does anybody know when they will release their Iowa poll? nt

[thevoiceofreason]

23. Nate was only giving PPP's 9/23 poll two bars

So even though it was 6 pts up, it was heavily discounted. This one will get the full monty.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

25. I don't understand IA. When was the last time a Democratic president lost IA? It's just weird.

[helpisontheway]

27. I will take it. I think a 3 pt lead is good considering the 1st debate! nt

[S_E_Fudd]

28. Don't know why they don't report with Johnson...he is on t he ballot...with him it is Obama +5

[ProSense]

30. They'll be surprised. n/t

[TroyD]

29. Biden is in CO today

:large

https://twitter.com/JoeBiden/status/259020767541465088/photo/1/large