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Shivering Jemmy

(900 posts)
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 07:23 PM Oct 2012

YouGov drops a load of state polls. Pleasant results.

Data a bit stale, but consistent with other more current indicators.
Iowa:50-46 Obama
AZ: 52-43 Romney
Mich: 52-42 Obama
Cali: 58-39 Obama
Conn: 53-39 Obama
Nevada: 50-45 Obama
NC: 49-48 Romney
VA: 46-45 Obama
WI: 51-47 Obama
Ohio 50-46 Obama
PA 51-44 Obama
Minn: 52-44 Obama
IL: 58-38 Obama
Mass: 55-36 Obama
MO:52-42 Romney

http://today.yougov.com/latest-findings/

21 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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YouGov drops a load of state polls. Pleasant results. (Original Post) Shivering Jemmy Oct 2012 OP
Awesome! NC remains razor close, Obama up in VA! VirginiaTarheel Oct 2012 #1
caveats Shivering Jemmy Oct 2012 #2
YouGov are pretty good. Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 #4
Looks very much like Obama's campaign has a solid GOTV plan here in NC Lex Oct 2012 #18
Nice to see so many states over 50% going for Obama awake Oct 2012 #3
Appears to be consensus about OH Alekei_Firebird Oct 2012 #5
The more the better so things flamingdem Oct 2012 #6
Good News is Good News, Baby powergirl Oct 2012 #7
I have a Question About These Polls JiminyJominy Oct 2012 #8
I'm signed up to do polls with them. Proud Liberal Dem Oct 2012 #9
If They Are Aligned With "The Economist" JiminyJominy Oct 2012 #10
Pleasant? I'd say excellent. speedoo Oct 2012 #11
Excellent results. I thought the "AZ is in play!!!" Doctor_J Oct 2012 #12
I am in Missouri and it is going to be close. Like they say St. Louis and Kansas City and Alabama demgrrrll Oct 2012 #14
Anyone Have.... JiminyJominy Oct 2012 #13
They also had Obama MSMITH33156 Oct 2012 #15
I have been regularly participating in their surveys. nt Comrade_McKenzie Oct 2012 #16
According to Nate Cohn, YouGov contacts the same people over and over Azathoth Oct 2012 #17
I especially like that number in Michigan. WI_DEM Oct 2012 #19
Pennsylvania is NOT a swing state. Dawson Leery Oct 2012 #20
Kicking this to ask a rhetorical question: WHY THE FUCK IS RCP IGNORING THIS???!!! robertpaulsen Oct 2012 #21

Mutiny In Heaven

(550 posts)
4. YouGov are pretty good.
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 07:30 PM
Oct 2012

Very good in the UK and I've just read that they ranked 2nd in terms of "Likely Voter" polls in 2008. Ahead of Gallup, by the way.

Alekei_Firebird

(320 posts)
5. Appears to be consensus about OH
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 07:32 PM
Oct 2012

A lot of polls are crazy, but I think there have now been at least 4 polls these past couple of days giving Obama 4-5 pt. in Ohio.

JiminyJominy

(340 posts)
8. I have a Question About These Polls
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 07:44 PM
Oct 2012

Do the numbers indicate people who have already voted? Meaning is "Have you early voted?" one of the questions in the poll and so that number is then factored into the poll?

Or are the polls completely of people who have not yet voted?

So for instance, in a state like Iowa where by my own (completely arbitrary) math and calculations I feel like about 12% of the electorate already voted and of that 12% 60% voted for Obama. Has that 60% been factored into the poll or is the poll mostly made up of people who are yet to vote.

Obviously, its great news if these polls are not accounting for the early vote as Obama dominated that. And if thats the case, then some of these states in which Obama is showing a 4 point lead in reality is a 6 point lead accounting for those who already voted.

Just wondering.

Proud Liberal Dem

(24,412 posts)
9. I'm signed up to do polls with them.
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 07:44 PM
Oct 2012

It's been an interesting experience but I've noticed that their political polls seem to have a right-wing slant to them, almost like right-wing push-polls but, hey, I'll settle for some good-sounding polls from them. I'll take just about any good numbers to feel better at the moment.

Edit: I don't recall having recently seen any "early voting" questions.

JiminyJominy

(340 posts)
10. If They Are Aligned With "The Economist"
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 07:46 PM
Oct 2012

i would think they'd have a slight right lean to it.

then again, we are living in an age of polls and as the years go on more and more importance is going to be put on the polls and everyone is going to want to be right in the end so i think eventually we will start to see "leans" get less and less in polls.

speedoo

(11,229 posts)
11. Pleasant? I'd say excellent.
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 07:46 PM
Oct 2012

Ahead everywhere except NC and down only 1 there.

Heck, I think those polls are fantastic.

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
12. Excellent results. I thought the "AZ is in play!!!"
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 07:58 PM
Oct 2012

was pretty outrageous last week. Here's hoping Rmoney's lead in MO doesn't carry the for "Legitimate Rape" Todd.

demgrrrll

(3,590 posts)
14. I am in Missouri and it is going to be close. Like they say St. Louis and Kansas City and Alabama
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 08:09 PM
Oct 2012

in between.

JiminyJominy

(340 posts)
13. Anyone Have....
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 08:07 PM
Oct 2012

an answer to my early voting question from above?

i'm really wondering if these poll numbers are possibly even better since early voting was so much for Obama.

Azathoth

(4,608 posts)
17. According to Nate Cohn, YouGov contacts the same people over and over
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 08:24 PM
Oct 2012

Similar to what RAND is doing I think. Not sure how that affects the significance of the numbers.

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)
20. Pennsylvania is NOT a swing state.
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 08:49 PM
Oct 2012

Romneybot moved his staffers out of the state and into Ohio and Iowa.
MN and NV will go for Obama.

robertpaulsen

(8,632 posts)
21. Kicking this to ask a rhetorical question: WHY THE FUCK IS RCP IGNORING THIS???!!!
Wed Oct 17, 2012, 02:01 PM
Oct 2012

They also had Obama up in Florida by one but does Real Clear Politics mention this in their Latest Election Polls from yesterday or today? Of course not!

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