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jezebel

(1,772 posts)
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 03:28 PM Oct 2012

Reuters/Ipsos tracking Poll Monday Obama 47 (+1) Romney 45

http://wkzo.com/news/articles/2012/oct/15/obama-keeps-small-lead-on-romney-debate-bleeding-stemmed-poll/

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Barack Obama retained a slim lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in the Reuters/Ipsos daily tracking poll on Monday, as he appeared to have stemmed the bleeding from his poor first debate.

Three weeks before the November 6 U.S. election, Obama leads Romney by 2 percentage points, with 47 percent support from likely voters in the national online poll, to 45 percent support for Romney.

The margin was small enough to be a virtual tie, but Obama's slight edge broadened from Sunday, when he went ahead of Romney by 1 point after falling behind in the wake of Romney's decisive victory in their first presidential debate on October 3.

"Romney received a bump from that first debate, but the very nature of a bump is it recedes again," Ipsos vice president Julia Clark said. "We're now seeing Obama regaining a little bit of a foothold as we go into the second debate. They go into the debate on equal footing."

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Reuters/Ipsos tracking Poll Monday Obama 47 (+1) Romney 45 (Original Post) jezebel Oct 2012 OP
Good! TroyD Oct 2012 #1
Every poll has their own likely voter model. Jennicut Oct 2012 #4
Gallup Had The Republicans With A Fifteen Point Generic Advantage In 2010. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #6
your concern is noted. woolldog Oct 2012 #7
Why do we need as many NAtional Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #8
What Troy Said/nt DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #2
I think it's safe to say teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #3
Kick!!! Lucy Fer Oct 2012 #5
Good News! Fringe Oct 2012 #9
But all the morning shows said Mitt has mo! N/T fugop Oct 2012 #10

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
1. Good!
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 03:32 PM
Oct 2012

Because Romney is still ahead in Gallup, and that concerns me.

We need as many good National polls as possible.

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)
4. Every poll has their own likely voter model.
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 03:39 PM
Oct 2012

Gallup over counted on the Repub end for 2010 and on the Dem side for 2008. It is more realistic that their likely voter 5 point spread is more like a 2 or 3 point spread.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
6. Gallup Had The Republicans With A Fifteen Point Generic Advantage In 2010.
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 03:41 PM
Oct 2012

It turned out to be 6.4%.

What's a 250% error among friends?

 
3. I think it's safe to say
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 03:37 PM
Oct 2012

The Romney debate bounce has faded some. Now it's up to Obama to deliver the knockout blow. He's gotta convince his jittery support that voting for Romney is clearly the wrong choice.

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