Obama's bump continues in today's American Life Panel tracking poll...

[Drunken Irishman]

https://mmicdata.rand.org/alp/?page=election#election-forecast

He's up 3.76 today, slowly climbing back to pre-debate levels.

[regnaD kciN]

1. A good start to the day...

One thing odd about that poll, though: right after the debate, it showed practically no change, but then took a sudden move to Rmoney on the 9th and 10th before starting to climb back again. Odd. I'd also note that it never had Obama out of the lead, even in the post-debate period, even though it had him within the margin of error for a bit. Does Nate include this poll?

[TroyD]

2. I think Nate has referenced RAND as a solid poll

But don't quote me on that.

Btw, I'm not sure if we should consider Nate's insight more valuable than our own on all polling matters. Let's remember that Nate has been giving Gravis & ARG a disproportionate weight in his model lately.

[TroyD]

3. You might want to put (Obama + 3.76) in your title : )

The RAND Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll - October 13 -

(Obama + 3.76)

Obama - 49.1%

Romney - 45.34%

[JB126]

4. Good morning!

Love the direction those little blue dots are heading!

[RichGirl]

5. I'm confident that he will do good in the debate.

He really just needs to be the way he is in speeches...energetic and engaging. Then, he needs to say frequently, in a dignified and presidential tone "Mitt, you know that's not true. The American people deserve the truth."

[DCBob]

6. Most of us knew this was going to happen... It was just a matter of time.

Once decent night of lying cant change the entire dynamics of this race.

[Pokoyo]

7. kick!

[bushisanidiot]

8. Great graphic! You can see where Romney was already going down before VP debate

Last edited Sun Oct 14, 2012, 10:50 AM - Edit history (2)

and the VP debate just accelerated his descent.

Polls tomorrow will a lot of fun to watch!

[magical thyme]

9. yikes! Correct your spelling please. Romney is INdecent; he has no decent to accelerate!!!!!

Think you meant descent

[WI_DEM]

10. Great news! Thanks for posting!!

[ProSense]

11. Here's the graphic

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/13/1144288/-Abbreviated-Pundit-Round-up-Death-by-Dollars-Edition

[moobu2]

12. Ohhh that looks really good.