# 2016 Postmortem

Related: About this forum# Polls and Predictions – Democratic Primaries through March 1st

Last edited Fri Feb 26, 2016, 11:54 PM - Edit history (1)

The following are the results of the latest polls (source: realclearpolitics.com) and the projections of Nate Silver (source fivethirtyeight.com) for the Democratic primaries scheduled for 2/27/16 (South Carolina) and the twelve primaries scheduled for 3/1/16.

Link: Polls and Predictions – Democratic Primaries through March 1st

**20 replies**= new reply since forum marked as read

**Highlight:**NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

#### CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)#### Beacool

(30,260 posts)He has no predictions yet for Alabama, Colorado and Minnesota, but Hillary is ahead in the polls in all three. The only state that he has predicted with certainty that will go to Sanders is VT. There are no polls on American Samoa, but they will only send 10 delegates.

#### Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)He is slightly ahead in the national average

#### Godhumor

(6,437 posts)You might want to take a look at the 538 aggregation of national numbers.

#### CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)You're badly mistaken.

And currently according to FiveThirtyEight.com

Clinton 49.6% Sanders 39.0% - Clinton +10.6%

To see the aggregation of national polls on Nate Silver's website click on the link below:

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/national-primary-polls/democratic/

#### Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)Looks like you are right. I'll take your polling aggregate and raise you an actual super Tuesday win(as in a majority of delegates, not states). Loser owes winner 538 random emojis as an OP

#### CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)#### Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)But I will bet he takes it with no less than 90% of the vote! and that he takes a majority of all pledged delegates up on super Tuesday

#### CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)Last edited Sat Feb 27, 2016, 06:52 PM - Edit history (1)

I'm on for second part: He (Bernie) takes a majority of all pledged delegates up on super Tuesday. You see I only bet on sure things, or those that have at least a 95% chance of happening. The chances of Hillary of winning at least two delegates more than Bernie in SC are in that range.

#### Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)#### CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)#### Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)#### CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)#### MaggieD

(7,393 posts)#### CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)#### Persondem

(1,937 posts)#### zappaman

(20,606 posts)#berniemath