Nate Silver: While Clinton has won the first two caucuses in the Democratic race —

[LiberalElite]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/nevada-caucus-south-carolina-primary-presidential-election-2016/?#livepress-update-16903922



While Clinton has won the first two caucuses in the Democratic race — while losing New Hampshire, the only primary — it’s possible that Bernie Sanders will win every state caucus from here on out.

Here’s why I say that. The remaining Democratic states to hold caucuses are: Alaska, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Kansas, Maine, Minnesota, Nebraska, Washington and Wyoming. Other than Hawaii — where I’m not going to pretend we have any earthly idea what’s going to happen — those are a bunch of really white states that otherwise look favorable for Sanders and which he could win even if he slightly trails Clinton nationally.

Clinton is probably favored in the territorial caucuses in American Samoa, Guam and the Virgin Islands, however, as territorial caucuses tend to heavily favor “establishment” candidates.

xposted in Sanders group

[jehop61]

1. Nice spin

but did you factor in population? Sorry for your loss

[RBInMaine]

2. Doesn't matter. She will win SC BIGTIME and sweep up on Super Tuesday.

[JRLeft]

3. She won't sweep, she probably loses 3-4 states but the race will no longer be in doubt after super

Tuesday.

[tgards79]

4. Why listen to Nate...

...when you can get the most accurate forecasts here? Just nailed Nevada, again!
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2016/02/nevada-d-and-south-carolina-r.html

[HereSince1628]

7. Didn't Nate say Bernie might win IA and NH and lose everything else?

It is hard to keep up -and- balance old conjectures with the new ones.

I'd be happy if Nate just fucking dropped off the interwebs.

[jeff47]

8. Guess Nate hasn't bothered looking at exit polling yet

Since Sanders won Latinos in NV by 11%.