2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum2012 DCW Senate Forecast Chart (compilation of seven political website forecasts)
2012 DCW Senate Forecast
Here: http://www.demconwatchblog.com/diary/5623/2012-dcw-senate-forecast
Note: This OP is a repost of one I posted here on DU last night,
yesterday in the article on the above link the wrong Chart was embedded - DCW has now embedded the correct updated Chart
longship
(40,416 posts)I say Dems lose one, Nebraska; and Republicans lose one, Massechusetts. All the others hold. The only question is Montana, which could go either way. (And no recent polling to indicate what's happening there.)
So, IMHO, at worse, we lose one. I do not see much hope for another gain, but it may happen.
karynnj
(59,503 posts)Otherwise, an optimistic prediction - I hope you are right!
longship
(40,416 posts)We assume he will align with Bernie Sanders, but first he has to be elected (likely) and then we have to see where he stands.
Regardless, the worst the Dems will have if things go extraordinarily bad, is a 50-50 tie (the way things look now -- and I do not see things getting any worse).
President Obama is going to win big, maybe even very big. The Senate is within easy reach for Dems. The House is even within our reach -- indicated by multiple pundits the last couple of weeks.
The bottom line is that this could be an election for the history books. We all need to work our asses off to turn Congress around.
We need a bunch of tea baggers to lose to get the gavel back into Nancy Pelosi's hand.
Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)By (+4) today. If that Senate race begins moving towards Berkley and away from Heller, that makes Democratic control of the Senate almost assured.