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Tx4obama

(36,974 posts)
Tue Sep 25, 2012, 04:37 PM Sep 2012

2012 DCW Senate Forecast Chart (compilation of seven political website forecasts)


2012 DCW Senate Forecast

Here: http://www.demconwatchblog.com/diary/5623/2012-dcw-senate-forecast



Note: This OP is a repost of one I posted here on DU last night,
yesterday in the article on the above link the wrong Chart was embedded - DCW has now embedded the correct updated Chart






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2012 DCW Senate Forecast Chart (compilation of seven political website forecasts) (Original Post) Tx4obama Sep 2012 OP
Blah, blah, blah! longship Sep 2012 #1
You forgot Maine - where King, an independent will win karynnj Sep 2012 #2
You are correct, but we still don't know where he will caucus. longship Sep 2012 #3
A photo of Boehner crying if/when Pelosi retook the Speaker's position would be priceless :) n/t Tx4obama Sep 2012 #5
Berkely is now ahead in the PPP Senate poll for Nevada TroyD Sep 2012 #4

longship

(40,416 posts)
1. Blah, blah, blah!
Tue Sep 25, 2012, 05:21 PM
Sep 2012

I say Dems lose one, Nebraska; and Republicans lose one, Massechusetts. All the others hold. The only question is Montana, which could go either way. (And no recent polling to indicate what's happening there.)

So, IMHO, at worse, we lose one. I do not see much hope for another gain, but it may happen.

karynnj

(59,503 posts)
2. You forgot Maine - where King, an independent will win
Tue Sep 25, 2012, 05:46 PM
Sep 2012

Otherwise, an optimistic prediction - I hope you are right!

longship

(40,416 posts)
3. You are correct, but we still don't know where he will caucus.
Tue Sep 25, 2012, 06:06 PM
Sep 2012

We assume he will align with Bernie Sanders, but first he has to be elected (likely) and then we have to see where he stands.

Regardless, the worst the Dems will have if things go extraordinarily bad, is a 50-50 tie (the way things look now -- and I do not see things getting any worse).

President Obama is going to win big, maybe even very big. The Senate is within easy reach for Dems. The House is even within our reach -- indicated by multiple pundits the last couple of weeks.

The bottom line is that this could be an election for the history books. We all need to work our asses off to turn Congress around.

We need a bunch of tea baggers to lose to get the gavel back into Nancy Pelosi's hand.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
4. Berkely is now ahead in the PPP Senate poll for Nevada
Tue Sep 25, 2012, 06:18 PM
Sep 2012

By (+4) today. If that Senate race begins moving towards Berkley and away from Heller, that makes Democratic control of the Senate almost assured.

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