2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPurple Strategies Polls for CO, FL, NC, OH, & VA
Colorado: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Purple Strategies)
Florida: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (Purple Strategies)
North Carolina: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (Purple Strategies)
Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 44% (Purple Strategies)
Virginia: Obama 46%, Romney 43% (Purple Strategies)
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/09/21/latest_swing_state_polls.html
Not sure if Purple Strategies has a GOP bias or not?
Florida (Romney +1): Romney holds on to a slim 48% to 47%
lead in the state, which has tracked toward Obama over the
last few months. The change is driven by independents,
among whom President Obama has a 10-point margin, 52%
to 42%.
North Carolina (Obama +2): Obama currently holds a small
lead, 48% to 46%. There is a relatively strong 18-point gender
gap in the state, with men favoring Romney by 8 points, and
women favoring Obama by 10.
Ohio (Obama +4): Ohio has been one of the more volatile
states in our polling, with the lead changing hands almost
monthly. Obama now leads the state 48% to 44%, despite
continuing to trail among independents by 10 points.
Obamas strength lies in a more consolidated base, with
90% of Democrats supporting him, compared to 82% of
Republicans favoring Romney.
Virginia (Obama +3): Virginia remains a key state for both
campaigns, and has swung between the two candidates in
our polling. Today, Obama leads 46% to 43%, a reversal of
Romneys 3-point lead last month.
Marsala
(2,090 posts)Though it's awfully hard to see that lean in these results, except for Florida.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Although I believe they are run primarily by 1 GOP pollster and 1 Democratic pollster.
Earlier this Summer they had more favorable numbers for Romney.
Romney's unfavorables have shot up to highest level since March it looks like in swing states.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)OHIO (Obama +4)
Purple Strategies
Obama - 48
Romney - 44
-----
FLORIDA (Romney +1)
Purple Strategies
Obama - 47
Romney - 48
-----
VIRGINIA (Obama +3)
Purple Strategies
Obama - 46
Romney - 43
-----
COLORADO (Obama +3)
Purple Strategies
Obama - 48
Romney - 45
-----
NORTH CAROLINA (Obama +2)
Purple Strategies
Obama - 48
Romney - 46
-----
ARIZONA (Romney +3)
Purple Strategies
Romney - 48
Obama - 45
TexasCPA
(527 posts)Obama might be able to hold NC. I am interested to see some IN polling. I am still doubtful about IN though. I was in shock in 2008 when Obama won NC and IN. I remember when the media called OH for Obama. At that point I knew the election was over. I was also laughing that day when they called PA so quickly. McCain was trying to convince everyone that PA was in play.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)Look at that blue line!
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/va/virginia_romney_vs_obama-1774.html
woolldog
(8,791 posts)like they say he does, then he's gonna win florida.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)before. Guess that is over now though they have Obama behind in FL and ahead in NC which is strange. Obama has been ahead in most FL polls and only tied or behind in NC.