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British Antarctic Survey: Record low Antarctic sea ice 'extremely unlikely' without climate change
https://www.bas.ac.uk/media-post/record-low-antarctic-sea-ice-extremely-unlikely-without-climate-change/Record low Antarctic sea ice ‘extremely unlikely’ without climate change
20 May, 2024 Press releases
Scientists at the British Antarctic Survey (BAS) have found that the record-low levels of sea ice around Antarctica in 2023 were extremely unlikely to happen without the influence of climate change. This low was a one-in-a-2000-year event without climate change and four times more likely under its effects. The results are published this week (20 May) in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.
In 2023, Antarctic sea ice reached historically low levels, with over 2 million square kilometres less ice than usual during winter – equivalent to about ten times the size of the UK. This drastic reduction followed decades of steady growth in sea ice up to 2015, making the sudden decline even more surprising.
A BAS Twin Otter flies over Antarctic sea ice.
Using a large climate dataset called CMIP6, BAS researchers investigated this unprecedented sea ice loss. They analysed data from 18 different climate models to understand the probability of such a significant reduction in sea ice and its connection to climate change.
Lead author Rachel Diamond explained that while 2023’s extreme low sea ice was made more likely by climate change, it was still considered very rare according to the models.
…
Nothing to see here… move along…20 May, 2024 Press releases
Scientists at the British Antarctic Survey (BAS) have found that the record-low levels of sea ice around Antarctica in 2023 were extremely unlikely to happen without the influence of climate change. This low was a one-in-a-2000-year event without climate change and four times more likely under its effects. The results are published this week (20 May) in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.
In 2023, Antarctic sea ice reached historically low levels, with over 2 million square kilometres less ice than usual during winter – equivalent to about ten times the size of the UK. This drastic reduction followed decades of steady growth in sea ice up to 2015, making the sudden decline even more surprising.
A BAS Twin Otter flies over Antarctic sea ice.
Using a large climate dataset called CMIP6, BAS researchers investigated this unprecedented sea ice loss. They analysed data from 18 different climate models to understand the probability of such a significant reduction in sea ice and its connection to climate change.
Lead author Rachel Diamond explained that while 2023’s extreme low sea ice was made more likely by climate change, it was still considered very rare according to the models.
…