UM Study: Wildfires to Increase in Alaska with Future Climate Change
http://news.umt.edu/2016/05/050516tund.php[font face=Serif][font size=5]UM Study: Wildfires to Increase in Alaska with Future Climate Change[/font]
May 10, 2016
[font size=3]MISSOULA - Climate change is melting glaciers, reducing sea-ice cover and increasing wildlife activity - with some of the most dramatic impacts occurring in the northern high latitudes.
New research by University of Montana affiliate scientist Adam Young and UM fire ecology Associate Professor Philip Higuera projects an increased probability of fires occurring in Alaskan boreal forest and tundra under a warmer, drier climate. Their work recently was published in the journal Ecography.
The paper titled "Climatic thresholds shape northern high-latitude fire regimes and imply vulnerability to future climate change" is available online at
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ecog.02205/abstract.
Young, also a doctoral candidate at the University of Idaho, projects that by the end of this century the probability of burning in many high-latitude ecosystems in Alaska will be up to four times higher than seen in recent decades. Tundra and the forest-tundra boundary, which have not burned often in the past, are particularly sensitive to projected changes in temperature and moisture.
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