Playing with Delegate Math

http://demrace.com/?share=bWkFYiQG

I created a scenario where Clinton doesn't do any better than tie any future contest, Bernie sweeps this weekend by greater margins than I expect, and he does better in the future in many states than I expect.

He still walks into the convention 13 delegates behind Clinton.

We should note that I don't expect Clinton to lose or tie in NY, PA, MD, DE, or NJ. I don't expect Sanders to have landslides in most states where I gave him a landslide. This is simply an absolute worst case given present events.

Make your own and share them here!

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4 replies	Author	Time	Post
Playing with Delegate Math (Original post)	Treant	Mar 2016	OP
A more reasonable scenario	Treant	Mar 2016	#1
Fuck the facts!!!!!! Feel the Bern	Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin	Mar 2016	#2
Devine can milk a few more 800K months out of 'em	Rose Siding	Mar 2016	#3
True, but	Treant	Mar 2016	#4

Response to Treant (Original post)

Thu Mar 24, 2016, 07:55 PM

Treant (1,968 posts)

1. A more reasonable scenario

http://DemRace.com/?share=UkNkBjqo

This is still rather Clinton-adverse, but she walks into the convention with more than +250 delegates. In this case, overall, the delegate split from now onward favors Sanders by more than 2.5%--greater than the much-published 1 point Sanders advantage from the poll.

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Response to Treant (Original post)

Thu Mar 24, 2016, 08:18 PM

Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (102,381 posts)