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Treant

(1,968 posts)
Thu Mar 24, 2016, 07:50 PM Mar 2016

Playing with Delegate Math

http://demrace.com/?share=bWkFYiQG

I created a scenario where Clinton doesn't do any better than tie any future contest, Bernie sweeps this weekend by greater margins than I expect, and he does better in the future in many states than I expect.

He still walks into the convention 13 delegates behind Clinton.

We should note that I don't expect Clinton to lose or tie in NY, PA, MD, DE, or NJ. I don't expect Sanders to have landslides in most states where I gave him a landslide. This is simply an absolute worst case given present events.

Make your own and share them here!
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Playing with Delegate Math (Original Post) Treant Mar 2016 OP
A more reasonable scenario Treant Mar 2016 #1
Fuck the facts!!!!!! Feel the Bern Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Mar 2016 #2
Devine can milk a few more 800K months out of 'em Rose Siding Mar 2016 #3
True, but Treant Mar 2016 #4

Treant

(1,968 posts)
1. A more reasonable scenario
Thu Mar 24, 2016, 07:55 PM
Mar 2016
http://DemRace.com/?share=UkNkBjqo

This is still rather Clinton-adverse, but she walks into the convention with more than +250 delegates. In this case, overall, the delegate split from now onward favors Sanders by more than 2.5%--greater than the much-published 1 point Sanders advantage from the poll.

Rose Siding

(32,623 posts)
3. Devine can milk a few more 800K months out of 'em
Thu Mar 24, 2016, 09:28 PM
Mar 2016

before the whole thing blows. Bernie's helping him with that whole redistribution of wealth thing...



Treant

(1,968 posts)
4. True, but
Thu Mar 24, 2016, 09:42 PM
Mar 2016

I didn't know Bernie was a fan of redistributing his donor's contributions upward into a one percenter.

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