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Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumPlaying with Delegate Math
http://demrace.com/?share=bWkFYiQGI created a scenario where Clinton doesn't do any better than tie any future contest, Bernie sweeps this weekend by greater margins than I expect, and he does better in the future in many states than I expect.
He still walks into the convention 13 delegates behind Clinton.
We should note that I don't expect Clinton to lose or tie in NY, PA, MD, DE, or NJ. I don't expect Sanders to have landslides in most states where I gave him a landslide. This is simply an absolute worst case given present events.
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Playing with Delegate Math (Original Post)
Treant
Mar 2016
OP
Treant
(1,968 posts)1. A more reasonable scenario
http://DemRace.com/?share=UkNkBjqo
This is still rather Clinton-adverse, but she walks into the convention with more than +250 delegates. In this case, overall, the delegate split from now onward favors Sanders by more than 2.5%--greater than the much-published 1 point Sanders advantage from the poll.
This is still rather Clinton-adverse, but she walks into the convention with more than +250 delegates. In this case, overall, the delegate split from now onward favors Sanders by more than 2.5%--greater than the much-published 1 point Sanders advantage from the poll.
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin
(113,307 posts)2. Fuck the facts!!!!!! Feel the Bern
Rose Siding
(32,623 posts)3. Devine can milk a few more 800K months out of 'em
before the whole thing blows. Bernie's helping him with that whole redistribution of wealth thing...
Treant
(1,968 posts)4. True, but
I didn't know Bernie was a fan of redistributing his donor's contributions upward into a one percenter.