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Thu Mar 24, 2016, 07:50 PM

Playing with Delegate Math

http://demrace.com/?share=bWkFYiQG

I created a scenario where Clinton doesn't do any better than tie any future contest, Bernie sweeps this weekend by greater margins than I expect, and he does better in the future in many states than I expect.

He still walks into the convention 13 delegates behind Clinton.

We should note that I don't expect Clinton to lose or tie in NY, PA, MD, DE, or NJ. I don't expect Sanders to have landslides in most states where I gave him a landslide. This is simply an absolute worst case given present events.

Make your own and share them here!

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Reply Playing with Delegate Math (Original post)
Treant Mar 2016 OP
Treant Mar 2016 #1
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Mar 2016 #2
Rose Siding Mar 2016 #3
Treant Mar 2016 #4

Response to Treant (Original post)

Thu Mar 24, 2016, 07:55 PM

1. A more reasonable scenario

http://DemRace.com/?share=UkNkBjqo

This is still rather Clinton-adverse, but she walks into the convention with more than +250 delegates. In this case, overall, the delegate split from now onward favors Sanders by more than 2.5%--greater than the much-published 1 point Sanders advantage from the poll.

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Response to Treant (Original post)

Thu Mar 24, 2016, 08:18 PM

2. Fuck the facts!!!!!! Feel the Bern

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Response to Treant (Original post)

Thu Mar 24, 2016, 09:28 PM

3. Devine can milk a few more 800K months out of 'em

before the whole thing blows. Bernie's helping him with that whole redistribution of wealth thing...



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Response to Rose Siding (Reply #3)

Thu Mar 24, 2016, 09:42 PM

4. True, but

I didn't know Bernie was a fan of redistributing his donor's contributions upward into a one percenter.

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