Even if every state goes Bernie the way MI did, Hillary wins the nomination! Time to count...

[MrWendel]

http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/3/10/1499043/-Even-if-every-state-goes-Bernie-the-way-MI-did-Hillary-wins-the-nomination-Time-to-count

By Theshornwonder



At this point, Hillary gained 17 delegates on Tuesday after Michigan and Mississippi. Giving her a pledged delegate lead of 219 delegates; a lead bigger than any Obama had in 2008. She now leads Bernie by over 200 pledged delegates. That’s a gain even with the fake Michigan “game changer”. Bernie folks need to acknowledge this lead is essentially insurmountable unless Clinton quits given the proportional representation. Honest ones will, others will focus on “states” as if it matters now.

(More in link)

[liberal N proud]

1. The BS'ers are not counting super delgates

They think they will either change or go away.

[artyteacher]

2. the supers wont go for an...

Independent who hasn't worked for the party, I think.

[jmowreader]

7. There's another problem they seem to ignore

Sanders' supers can also change to Hillary.

[72DejaVu]

9. They can even sit in a booth at a restaurant and discuss it

[George II]

3. Even without the superdelegates, Sanders has to win every remaining state with about 55%....

....of the vote or more. Not just most states, or some states - ALL of the remaining states.

Each time he wins a state by less than that % or loses a state, that 55+% number goes up. And now there are 29 states and 5 or 6 territories remaining. That means he has to go on a 30+ state/territory winning streak.

Then, after that, he also has to split the superdelegates by 50/50 (and Clinton already has the endorsements of about 65% of them).

Does anyone in this country realistically think that is going to happen?

[Her Sister]

4. thought it had to be higher than 55% already

but I agree with your point. He cannot afford another Mississipi at all.

[George II]

6. The other day I came up with 62%, but then realized that the source I was using....

....for total delegates wasn't updated for about 9 months and the delegate count for each state has changed since then. 55% is more accurate.

[Lucinda]

8. Not me.

[Stuckinthebush]

10. They don't live in a reality based world

They live in Sanders-world where non-Euclidian math is used for counting delegates and the congress will agree to all of Bernie's proposals.

It's magical.

[Thinkingabout]

5. Thanks, I think it is going to be an uphill climb, and the trend was not in his direction

and catch up is harder to play.

[FloridaBlues]

11. Only winning by 1.5% won't do much good in either Ohio missiouri won't do much for him

Has to win all states. 60 points not going to happening on me