Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:00 PM

Treant (1,968 posts)

538 Delegate Targets (Hillary Clinton Group)

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/democrats/

Clinton is now at 113% of her target (while Trump is at 112% of his), and a current delegate count of 596 total.

What made me smile is that, if you look ahead to March fifth, Clinton would be ahead of her target at the end of the day if she didn't receive a single delegate during those contests.

She would still be even with her target if she didn't receive a single delegate on March 6th, although she'd fall behind on March 8th.

Clinton must be feeling very, very positive this morning. She's actually picked up a four state all-delegate advantage. Smaller states, admittedly, but still.

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8 replies	Author	Time	Post
538 Delegate Targets (Hillary Clinton Group) (Original post)	Treant	Mar 2016	OP
yeah I saw that	Her Sister	Mar 2016	#1
The math is, indeed, MIA.	Treant	Mar 2016	#2
Texas AND Nevada, lest we forget. ;-)	BlueCaliDem	Mar 2016	#3
well Texas helped	Her Sister	Mar 2016	#4
It certainly underlined it - in BOLD.	BlueCaliDem	Mar 2016	#6
HRC won Pueblo, CO	Her Sister	Mar 2016	#5
Yes, she did!	BlueCaliDem	Mar 2016	#7
yes! Pueblo, CO 44% Hispanic	Her Sister	Mar 2016	#8

Response to Treant (Original post)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:36 PM

Her Sister (6,444 posts)

1. yeah I saw that

538: I love that website! Very smart! I listened to their election podcast where they discussed last night's results and funny when they get to the democratic party results!

One of the commentators said something like: "Come on folks! This is ridiculous! Look, Bernie Sanders' folks I love you. You are great people. That Ben&Jerry ice cram is amazing, The math just ain't there folks!! You just can't do it. You can't be losing black voters in the democratic primary by 60 plus points!" They also mentioned that Texas was proof that Bernie isn't making inroads with Hispanic voters.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/elections-podcast-breaking-down-super-tuesday/?ex_cid=navlink

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Response to Her Sister (Reply #1)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:50 PM

Treant (1,968 posts)

2. The math is, indeed, MIA.

A candidate simply cannot cede every minority group, women, the entire South, and people over 30.

The only place that wins an election is in Logan's Run.

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Response to Her Sister (Reply #1)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:58 PM

BlueCaliDem (15,438 posts)

3. Texas AND Nevada, lest we forget. ;-)

Two States with high Latino population numbers. Now if they bring up Colorado, remind them that it was a caucus State, not a regular primary-one-person-one-vote State.

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Response to BlueCaliDem (Reply #3)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 03:04 PM

Her Sister (6,444 posts)

4. well Texas helped

answer the Latino vote question in Nevada!!

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Response to Her Sister (Reply #4)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 03:11 PM

BlueCaliDem (15,438 posts)

6. It certainly underlined it - in BOLD.

Minorities aren't feeling "theBern".

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Response to BlueCaliDem (Reply #3)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 03:06 PM

Her Sister (6,444 posts)

5. HRC won Pueblo, CO

which has a large Latino population!

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results

If you click on the map on the state of Colorado, you can see Pueblo in Blue for HRC

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Response to Her Sister (Reply #5)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 03:12 PM

BlueCaliDem (15,438 posts)

7. Yes, she did!

Thanks for the link, HS. I appreciate it.

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Response to BlueCaliDem (Reply #7)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 03:25 PM

Her Sister (6,444 posts)

8. yes! Pueblo, CO 44% Hispanic

according to Wikipedia: "The racial makeup of the city was 76.21% White, 2.41% African American, 1.73% Native American, 0.67% Asian, 0.06% Pacific Islander, 15.20% from other races, and 3.71% from two or more races. Latinos made up 44.13% of the population. 10.1% were of German, 8.1% Italian, 6.0% American, 5.5% English and 5.4% Irish ancestry according to Census 2000."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pueblo,_Colorado#Demographics

Yesterday, I asked one of my friends who lives in the mountains in Colorado about voting but she acted like it was such a hassle because she would have to get home after long day at work and the go to the caucus at 7pm. That feels daunting to people. Caucuses would be better on weekends! Not sure if she made it. I used to live in Colorado and was there for my first times voting.

I am in NY now so my primary is next month...

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