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Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:00 PM

538 Delegate Targets (Hillary Clinton Group)

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/democrats/

Clinton is now at 113% of her target (while Trump is at 112% of his), and a current delegate count of 596 total.

What made me smile is that, if you look ahead to March fifth, Clinton would be ahead of her target at the end of the day if she didn't receive a single delegate during those contests.

She would still be even with her target if she didn't receive a single delegate on March 6th, although she'd fall behind on March 8th.

Clinton must be feeling very, very positive this morning. She's actually picked up a four state all-delegate advantage. Smaller states, admittedly, but still.

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Reply 538 Delegate Targets (Hillary Clinton Group) (Original post)
Treant Mar 2016 OP
Her Sister Mar 2016 #1
Treant Mar 2016 #2
BlueCaliDem Mar 2016 #3
Her Sister Mar 2016 #4
BlueCaliDem Mar 2016 #6
Her Sister Mar 2016 #5
BlueCaliDem Mar 2016 #7
Her Sister Mar 2016 #8

Response to Treant (Original post)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:36 PM

1. yeah I saw that

 

538: I love that website! Very smart! I listened to their election podcast where they discussed last night's results and funny when they get to the democratic party results!

One of the commentators said something like: "Come on folks! This is ridiculous! Look, Bernie Sanders' folks I love you. You are great people. That Ben&Jerry ice cram is amazing, The math just ain't there folks!! You just can't do it. You can't be losing black voters in the democratic primary by 60 plus points!" They also mentioned that Texas was proof that Bernie isn't making inroads with Hispanic voters.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/elections-podcast-breaking-down-super-tuesday/?ex_cid=navlink

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Response to Her Sister (Reply #1)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:50 PM

2. The math is, indeed, MIA.

A candidate simply cannot cede every minority group, women, the entire South, and people over 30.

The only place that wins an election is in Logan's Run.

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Response to Her Sister (Reply #1)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:58 PM

3. Texas AND Nevada, lest we forget. ;-)

Two States with high Latino population numbers. Now if they bring up Colorado, remind them that it was a caucus State, not a regular primary-one-person-one-vote State.

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Response to BlueCaliDem (Reply #3)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 03:04 PM

4. well Texas helped

 

answer the Latino vote question in Nevada!!

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Response to Her Sister (Reply #4)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 03:11 PM

6. It certainly underlined it - in BOLD.

Minorities aren't feeling "theBern".

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Response to BlueCaliDem (Reply #3)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 03:06 PM

5. HRC won Pueblo, CO

 

which has a large Latino population!

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results


If you click on the map on the state of Colorado, you can see Pueblo in Blue for HRC

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Response to Her Sister (Reply #5)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 03:12 PM

7. Yes, she did!

Thanks for the link, HS. I appreciate it.

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Response to BlueCaliDem (Reply #7)

Wed Mar 2, 2016, 03:25 PM

8. yes! Pueblo, CO 44% Hispanic

 

according to Wikipedia: "The racial makeup of the city was 76.21% White, 2.41% African American, 1.73% Native American, 0.67% Asian, 0.06% Pacific Islander, 15.20% from other races, and 3.71% from two or more races. Latinos made up 44.13% of the population. 10.1% were of German, 8.1% Italian, 6.0% American, 5.5% English and 5.4% Irish ancestry according to Census 2000."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pueblo,_Colorado#Demographics


Yesterday, I asked one of my friends who lives in the mountains in Colorado about voting but she acted like it was such a hassle because she would have to get home after long day at work and the go to the caucus at 7pm. That feels daunting to people. Caucuses would be better on weekends! Not sure if she made it. I used to live in Colorado and was there for my first times voting.

I am in NY now so my primary is next month...


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